This research note develops a new explanation of postwar peace duration: periods of peace following wars last longer when the war ends in foreignimposed regime change+ This study tests this hypothesis on a new data set~an expansion of Fortna's~2004! data! of all periods of peace following interstate war cease-fires, over the period 1914-2001+ It also tests for other possible factors affecting postwar peace duration, including international institutions, the revelation of information during war, third-party intervention during war, postwar changes in the balance of power, regime type, past conflict history, and others+ The article finds strong support for the central hypothesis that peace lasts longer following wars that end in foreign-imposed regime change+ This pacifying effect diminishes over time when a puppet is imposed, but not when a democracy is imposed+ There are other results, including that the strength of a cease-fire agreement has almost no impact on peace duration+ International Organization 62, Fall 2008, pp+ 717-36
Background Each year, 200,000 patients undergo an in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), with approximately 15–20% surviving to discharge. Little is known, however, about the long-term prognosis of these patients after discharge. Previous efforts to describe out-of-hospital survival of IHCA patients have been limited by small sample sizes and narrow patient populations Methods A single institution matched cohort study was undertaken to describe mortality following IHCA. Patients surviving to discharge following an IHCA between 2008 and 2010 were matched on age, sex, race and hospital admission criteria with non-IHCA hospital controls and follow-up between 9 and 45 months. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox PH models assessed differences in survival. Results Of the 1262 IHCAs, 20% survived to hospital discharge. Of those discharged, survival at 1 year post-discharge was 59% for IHCA patients and 82% for controls (p < 0.0001). Hazard ratios (IHCA vs. controls) for mortality were greatest within the 90 days following discharge (HR = 2.90, p < 0.0001) and decreased linearly thereafter, with those surviving to one year post-discharge having an HR for mortality below 1.0. Survival after discharge varied amongst IHCA survivors. When grouped by discharge destination, out of hospital survival varied; in fact, IHCA patients discharged home without services demonstrated no survival difference compared to their non-IHCA controls (HR 1.10, p = 0.72). IHCA patients discharged to long-term hospital care or hospice, however, had a significantly higher mortality compared to matched controls (HR 3.91 and 20.3, respectively; p < 0.0001). Conclusion Among IHCA patients who survive to hospital discharge, the highest risk of death is within the first 90 days after discharge. Additionally, IHCA survivors overall have increased long-term mortality vs. controls. Survival rates were varied widely with different discharge destinations, and those discharged to home, skilled nursing facilities or to rehabilitation services had survival rates no different than controls. Thus, increased mortality was primarily driven by patients discharged to long-term care or hospice.
Trauma is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the pediatric population. However, temporal variations of trauma have not been well characterized and may have implications for appropriate allocation of hospital resources. Data from patients evaluated at an ACS-verified Level I pediatric trauma center between 2011 and 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. Date and time of injury, type of injury (blunt vs penetrating), and postemergency department disposition were reviewed. To assess temporal trends, heatmaps were constructed and a mixed poisson regression model was used to assess statistical significance. Pediatric trauma from blunt and penetrating injuries occurred at significantly higher rates between the hours of 1800 and 0100, on weekends compared with weekdays, and from May to August compared with November to February. These data provide useful information for hospital resource utilization. The emergency department, operating room, and intensive care unit should be prepared for increased trauma-related volume between May and August, weekends, and evening hours by appropriately increasing staff volume and resource availability.
Trauma centers face novel challenges in resource allocation in an era of cost consciousness and work-hour restrictions. Studies have shown that time of day and day of week affect trauma admission volume; however, these studies were performed in cold climates. Data from 2000 to 2010 at a Level I trauma center were reviewed. Demographic, injury severity, and injury timing from 23,827 trauma patients were analyzed along with their emergency department disposition (operating room, intensive care unit, ward) and final outcome. Nighttime arrivals (NAs) accounted for 56.6 per cent and daytime arrivals accounted for 43.4 per cent of total admissions. The increase in NAs was most pronounced during the period from midnight to 6 AM on weekends ( P < 0.05). Also, the period from midnight to 6 AM on weekends showed a significantly increased proportion of penetrating trauma ( P < 0.01). Similarly, there was an increased rate of trauma arrivals needing emergent operative intervention in the period between midnight and 6 AM on weekends when compared with any other time period ( P < 0.01). In a southern Level I trauma center, patient volume varies nonrandomly with time. Emergent operative intervention is more likely between midnight and 6 AM, the peak time for penetrating trauma. Because resident operative experience is maximized at night and on weekends, coverage during these periods should remain a priority for residency programs.
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