EDUS examination yielded a high negative predictive value and good positive predictive value, allowing rapid discharge and avoiding improper anticoagulant treatment.
To compare the prognostic accuracy of the 2014 risk model of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and of Bova and TELOS scores for identification of normotensive patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) at high risk for short-term adverse events (i.e., intermediate-high risk patients), we retrospectively applied these tests to a prospective cohort of 994 normotensive patients with objectively confirmed PE. Sixty-three (6.3 %) patients reached the primary outcome, a composite of hemodynamic collapse and death within 7 days from diagnosis. The Bova and TELOS scores classified the same proportion of patients in intermediate-high risk category (5.9 and 5.7 %, respectively), with a similar primary outcome rate (18.6 and 21.1 %, respectively). The 2014 ESC model classified in the intermediate-high risk category the largest proportion of patients (12.5 %, p < 0.001 vs Bova and TELOS), with the lowest primary outcome rate (13 %, p = ns vs Bova and TELOS). When lactate determination was added to the Bova score, 112 patients (11.2 %) were classified in the intermediate-high risk category (p < 0.05 vs Bova and TELOS), with a slight increase in the primary outcome rate (25.9 %, p = 0.014 vs 2014 ESC model), allowing the recognition of a twofold higher number of patients reaching the primary outcome (29 vs 15, 11 and 12 patients in the 2014 ESC model, Bova and TELOS scores, respectively, p < 0.01 for all). The 2014 ESC model, Bova and TELOS scores identify a small number of intermediate-high risk patients with PE, without differences among tests. Adding plasma lactate to the Bova score significantly improves the identification of intermediate-high risk patients.
Objective: To derive and validate a prediction rule in patients with acute chest pain (CP) without existing known coronary disease. Methods: Cohort study including 2233 patients with CP. Based on clinical judgment, 1435 were discharged as very low risk and the remaining 798 underwent exercise tolerance test (ETT). End point: 6-month composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and revascularization. The prediction rule was derived from a randomly selected test cohort (n = 1106) summing factors of variables selected by multivariate regression analysis: CP score higher than 6 (factor of 3), male gender, age older than 50 years, metabolic syndrome, and diabetes mellitus (factor of 1, for each). The prediction rule was validated in the remaining cohort (n = 1127). All patients with CP were categorized into 3 groups: group A (prediction rule 0-1), B (2-4), or C (5-6). Outcomes and prognostic yield of ETT were compared among each group. Results: In the test cohort, 55 patients (5%) reached the composite end point. Event rate increased as the prediction rule increased: 1% for group A, 6% for B, and 25% for C (P b .001). This pattern was confirmed in the validation cohort (P b .001). A normal ETT did not significantly improve the high (99%) negative predictive value in group A and did not succeed in excluding the composite end point (17%) in group C. Conclusions: In patients with acute CP without existing coronary disease, a prediction rule based on clinical characteristics provided a useful method for prognostication with possible implication in decision making.
To analyze the clinical characteristics of acute meningitis and their relationship with age in adult patients presenting to the emergency department. We retrospectively investigated consecutive adult patients admitted with a diagnosis of bacterial or viral meningitis from 2002 to 2006. Data about patient's history, symptoms and signs at presentation, etiology and clinical course were collected. To investigate the relationship of clinical presentation with age, we divided patients in four age quartiles (<30 years, between 30 and 36 years, between 37 and 56 years, >56 years). Among the 202 patients considered in the study (mean age 42.8 ± 18.7 years, range 14-90), 162 (80.2%) patients had viral and 40 (19.8%) bacterial meningitis. Specific signs, such as neck stiffness or Kernig or Brudzinski signs, were more common in the first than in the fourth quartile (73.1 vs. 45.7% P = 0.041). Conversely, altered consciousness expressed as Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) <15 was more frequent in the fourth (80.4%) than in the first (9.6%) quartile (P < 0.001). The linear regression analysis confirmed a significant decrease of GCS with the increasing of patient's age (r = -0.69, P < 0.001). At multivariate analysis, aging was associated with altered level of consciousness (OR 16.7, P < 0.001) independent of viral or bacterial etiology of the presence of comorbidities and of clinical severity (presence of severe sepsis or septic shock). Meningitis presentation largely differs with aging in adult patients. Level of consciousness is frequently altered in the older patients, when other specific signs become more rare, independent of etiology, comorbidities and clinical severity.
EDUS examination yielded a high negative predictive value and good positive predictive value, allowing rapid discharge and avoiding improper anticoagulant treatment.
Chest pain (CP) represents a frequent reason for presentation at the emergency department (ED). A large proportion of patients have non-diagnostic ECG on presentation, and in many cases several hours have elapsed since onset of symptoms. Acute rest myocardial scintigraphy (rest SPET) has been shown to have a relevant role in the detection of patients at risk for coronary events, but its sensitivity and negative predictive value are optimal only within the first 3 h following onset of symptoms. In those with delayed presentation, exercise SPET alone, as a screening approach, appears more promising, but its feasibility and diagnostic role in the ED are still unresolved. A total of 231 consecutive patients with a recent-onset (<24 h) first episode of CP had a negative first-line work-up including ECG, troponins, creatine kinase-MB and echocardiography. These patients were considered at low risk for short-term coronary events. Patients were studied with rest SPET if they presented <3 h after onset of CP and exercise SPET if they presented after > or =3 h. The end-points of the study were detection of significant coronary artery disease (CAD) by angiography and major coronary events or cardiac death at 6 months. Eighty patients (35%) underwent rest SPET, while 151 (65%) underwent exercise SPET. Two of the 159 patients with negative SPET had evidence of critical CAD at 6-month follow-up (one patient in the rest SPET group and one in the exercise SPET group; P=NS). Of the 72 patients (31%) with a positive scan, 34 (15%) had documented CAD (16 patients in the rest SPET group and 18 in the exercise SPET group; P=NS). Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and predictive value were not statistically different between the two groups. In conclusion, the accuracy of exercise SPET in patients with CP and delayed presentation to the ED is comparable to that of validated rest SPET in patients with early presentation. Owing to the high negative predictive value (99%), exercise SPET is especially valuable as a screening tool for the exclusion of CAD in low-risk patients and implementation of early discharge.
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