RESUMOO objetivo deste estudo foi aplicar a metodologia geoestatística para avaliar os casos de leptospirose no município de Curitiba, relacionando-os com as inundações ocorridas na cidade no mesmo período. Após uma análise descritiva para verificar a existência de dependência espacial, construiu-se os variogramas experimentais que foram ajustados pelos modelos esférico, exponencial e gaussiano. Os mapas krigados mostraram claramente o comportamento da doença e das inundações na área de estudo, fornecendo informações importantes para o gerenciamento dos riscos. PALAVRAS-CHAVE:Geostatística, mapeamento, leptospirose, alagamentos. GEOSTATISTICAL MODELING OF THE OCCURRENCE LEPTOSPIROSIS CASES AND FLOODING IN CURITIBA -PR CITY, IN 2014 ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study was to analyze the applicability of geostatistics for modeling information for the assessment of cases of leptospirosis and flooding in the city of Curitiba. A descriptive analysis to verify the existence of spatial dependence was done and experimental semivariogras were built fitting three theoretical models: spherical, exponential and gaussian The kriged maps show clearly the spatial variation of the disease analyzed in the study area, providing important information for managing risks.
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