Due to the outbreak of Coronavirus, humans all over the world are facing several health problems. The present study has explored the spatio-temporal pattern of Coronavirus spread in India including spatial clustering, identification of hotspot, spatial heterogeneity, and homogeneity, spatial trend, and direction of COVID-19 cases using spatial statistical analysis during the period of 30th January to 20 June 2020. Besides, the polynomial regression model has been used for predictions of COVID-19 affected population and related deaths. The study found positive spatial heterogeneity in COVID-19 cases in India. The study has also identified seventeen epicentres across the country with high incidence rates. The directional distribution of ellipse polygon shows that the spread of COVID-19 now trending towards the east but the concentration of cases is mainly in the western part of the country. The country's trend of COVID-19 follows a fourth-order polynomial growth and is characterized by an increasing trend. The prediction results show that as on 14 th October India will reach 14,660,400 COVID-19 cases and the death toll will cross 152,945. Therefore, a 'spacespecific' policy strategy would be a more suitable strategy for reducing the spatial spread of the virus in India. Moreover, the study has broadly found out seven sectors, where Govt. of India lacks in terms of confronting the ongoing pandemic. The study has also recommended some appropriate policies which would be immensely useful for the administration to initiate strategic planning.
Historically, the Scheduled Tribe (ST) community is deprived of primary education and suffers from a lower literacy rate in India, particularly in West Bengal. From this perspective, the study aims to find the trend of the primary gross-enrolment ratio (PGER) of 7–14 years aged children and the overall literacy rate in the ST community as compared to its non-ST counterpart. The study also focuses on gendered literacy disparity in ST and non-ST communities. Gendered literacy disparity is measured using modified Sopher’s disparity index of Kundu and Rao ( Educational planning: A long term perspective, 1986 [pp. 435–466], NIEPA). Besides, paired sample t-test is applied for the empirical result. Apart from this, a comparative analysis of rural and urban Bengal is made. The study reveals that in India as a whole and particularly in West Bengal, the literacy rate and PGER have yet not achieved its desired goal. The condition was worse in the ST community in the previous census and has created a wide PGER and literacy gap with the non-ST community. Gendered literacy disparity exists in both the communities, though the level is very high in the ST community.
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