Ongoing plate convergence between India and Eurasia provides a natural laboratory for studying the dynamics of continental collision, a fi rst-order process in the evolution of continents, regional climate, and natural hazards. In southeastern Tibet, the fast directions of seismic anisotropy determined using shear-wave splitting analysis correlate with the surfi cial geology including major sutures and shear zones and with the surface strain derived from the global positioning system velocity fi eld. These observations are consistent with a clockwise rotation of material around the eastern Himalayan syntaxis and suggest coherent distributed lithospheric deformation beneath much of southeastern Tibet. At the southeastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau we observe a sharp transition in mantle anisotropy with a change in fast directions to a consistent E-W direction and a clockwise rotation of the surface velocity, surface strain fi eld, and fault network toward Burma. Around the eastern Himalayan syntaxis, the coincidence between structural crustal features, surface strain, and mantle anisotropy suggests that the deformation in the lithosphere is mechanically coupled across the crust-mantle interface and that the lower crust is suffi ciently strong to transmit stress. At the southeastern margin of the plateau in Yunnan province, a change in orientation between mantle anisotropy and surface strain suggests a change in the relationship between crustal and mantle deformation. Lateral variations in boundary conditions and rheological properties of the lithosphere play an important role in the geodynamic evolution of the Himalayan orogen and Tibetan Plateau and require the development of three-dimensional models that incorporate lateral heterogeneity.
Tectonic processes, fl exure due to crustal loading, and dynamic mantle fl ow each impart a unique imprint on topography and geomorphic responses over time scales of 10 4 to 10 6 yr. This paper explores the mobility of regional drainage divides as a key geomorphic metric that can distinguish between the various processes driving crustal deformation in the greater Yellowstone region of the northwestern United States. We propose a new analysis that quantifi es the differences between the location of the presentday drainage divide from divides synthetically generated from fi ltered topography to determine the relative impact of tectonic and dynamic mantle infl uences on landscape development. The greater Yellowstone region is an opportune location for this investigation because contrasting models have been proposed to explain the parabolic shape of elevated topography and active seismicity that outline the imprint of hypothesized hotspot activity. Drainage divides synthesized from topography fi ltered at 50, 100, and 150 km wavelengths within the greater Yellowstone region show that the locations of the actual and synthetic Snake River drainage divides are controlled by both dynamic and fl exural mechanisms in the eastern greater Yellowstone region, but by fl exural mechanisms only in the western greater Yellowstone region. The location of the actual divide deviates from its predicted position in the fi ltered topography where tectonic controls, such as active faults (e.g., Centennial and Teton faults), have uplifted large footwall blocks. Our results are consistent with the notion of a northeastward-propagating greater Yellow stone region topographic and seismic parabola, and suggest that Basin and Range extension follows from, rather than precedes, greater Yellowstone region dynamic topography. Furthermore, our analysis suggests that eastward migration of the Snake River drainage divide lags behind the continued northeastward propagation of high-standing topography associated with the Yellowstone geophysical anomaly by 1-2 m.y.
A bespoke ground-motion model has been developed for the prediction of response spectral accelerations, peak ground velocity and significant duration due to induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands. For applications to the calculation of risk to the exposed building stock, extensions to the model are required. The use of the geometric mean horizontal component in the ground-motion predictions and the arbitrary horizontal component for the building fragility functions requires the addition of component-to-component variability. A model for this variability has been developed that both reflects the strong horizontal polarisation of motions observed in many Groningen records obtained at short distances and the fact that the strong polarisation is unlikely to persist at larger magnitudes. The other extension of the model is the spatial correlation of ground motions for the calculation of aggregated risk, which can be approximated through simple rules for sampling the variance within site response zones. Making use of ground-motion recordings from several networks in the field and the results of finite difference waveform simulations, a Groningen-specific spatial correlation model has been developed. The new model also combines results from traditional variogram fitting approaches with a new method to infer spatial correlation lengths from observed variance reduction. The development of the new spatial correlation model relaxes the need to approximate spatial correlation through the sampling of site response, although the results obtained herein suggest that similar results could be obtained using either approach. The preliminary consideration of the numerical waveform modelling results in this study paves the way for significant extensions to be made for the modelling of spatial correlations and the decomposition of apparent spatial variability into systematic and random components within a fully non-ergodic framework .
We present simulations performed for the development of a ground motion model for induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field. The largest recorded event, with M3.5, occurred in 2012 and, more recently, a M3.4 event in 2018 led to recorded ground accelerations exceeding 0.1 g. As part of an extensive hazard and risk study, it has been necessary to predict ground motions for scenario earthquakes up to M7. In order to achieve this, while accounting for the unique local geology, a range of simulations have been performed using both stochastic and full-waveform finite-difference simulations. Due to frequency limitations and lack of empirical calibration of the latter approach, input simulations for the ground motion model used in the hazard and risk analyses have been performed with a finite-fault stochastic method. However, in parallel, extensive studies using the finite-difference simulations have guided inputs and modelling considerations for these simulations. Three approaches are used: (1) the finite-fault stochastic method, (2) elastic point-and (3) finite-source 3D finite-difference simulations. We present a summary of the methods and their synthesis, including both amplitudes and durations within the context of the hazard and risk model. A unique form of wave-propagation with strong lateral focusing and defocusing is evident in both peak amplitudes and durations. The results clearly demonstrate the need for a locally derived ground motion model and the potential for reduction in aleatory variability in moving toward a path-specific fully non-ergodic model.
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