In 1982-1983 a random sample of 1486 people aged 65 years and above was generated from general practitioner lists; 1070 were interviewed in the community using the Geriatric Mental State and a Social History questionnaire. The cohort was followed up by interview 3 years later. At year 3 the diagnostic computer program AGECAT diagnosed 44 incident cases of depression. Information from the depressed group's initial and further interviews was compared with a control group (which excluded cases of affective or organic mental illness). Univariate analysis yielded three factors that were significantly associated with the development of depression 3 years later: a lack of satisfaction with life; feelings of loneliness; and smoking. Multivariate analysis confirmed their independent effects and revealed 2 further factors attaining significance: female gender and a trigger factor, bereavement of a close figure within 6 months of the third-year diagnosis. Some other factors traditionally associated with depression, such as poor housing, marital status and living alone, failed to attain significance as risk factors.

A total of 1070 men and women aged 65 years and over living in the community in Liverpool were interviewed using the Geriatric Mental State. Diagnoses of depression at case and subcase level were made using the GMS-AGECAT package from an initial interview and at follow-up three years later. Data relating to blood pressure at year 0 was available on 748 subjects. Men not taking anti-hypertensives or antidepressants with diastolic blood pressure greater than 85 mmHg were significantly less likely to be subcases than men with low or normal diastolic pressure. People in this group were also significantly less likely to be cases 3 years later. There were no other significant findings. These results do not support an association between low blood pressure and coincidental or future subcase- or case-level depressive illness.

SUMMARYThe Liverpool Continuing Health in the Community Study has followed up 1070 elderly community subjects over 6 years. In the first year 123 subjects had case-level depression. Three years later 49 (39.8%) of the previously depressed were recovered, 33 (26.8%) were depressed, 16 (13%) were not available for interview and 25 (20.3%) were dead. This study looks at factors associated with the 3-year outcome of patients who were depressed at year 0. Two outcome groups that were compared were a recovered depression group and a recurrent/persistent depression group. The factors that were significantly associated with a recurrence of depression (or persistent depression) at year 3 were bereavement of a close figure in the 6 months before interview, loneliness and life dissatisfaction at year 3. A variety of traditional risk factors for depression (including age, marital status, physical ill-health and incapacity) failed to attain significance in predicting recurrent or persistent depression. When combined, both recovered and recurrently depressed groups at year 3 had significantly higher levels of pain and a higher number of serious upsets in the past 6 months and 6 weeks compared to a control group. The depressed at year 0 were more likely to have entered more dependent forms of accommodation by year 3.

Trained raters from the Liverpool Continuing Health in the Community study interviewed 1070 people over the age of 65 in 1982-1983 using the Geriatric Mental State (GMS) examination. Three years later the cohort was re-interviewed, this time by psychiatrists trained in the GMS, who used the GMS and the History and Aetiology Schedule (HAS). The cohort had fallen in size to 875, because of mortality; 701 were re-interviewed. The cohort was followed up again 6 years after the first interview by trained nurse raters using the GMS (A3) and the Mini-Mental State Examination. Cases of mental disorder identified by the computer diagnostic program AGECAT were re-interviewed by psychiatrists along with a number of controls using the GMS and the HAS on the remaining 450 individuals. Observational behavioural ratings from the GMS and summary sheets were analysed along with AGECAT diagnoses and data on medication gained at the 3 assessments. The community prevalence of tardive dyskinesia and other movement disorders in elderly people over a 6-year follow-up appears to be very low (the community prevalence of tardive dyskinesia being 0.22% and akathisia 1.57%), is usually associated with organic mental disorder (and consequently higher mortality) and is furthermore not usually associated with antipsychotic medication.