PSA-based screening reduced the rate of death from prostate cancer by 20% but was associated with a high risk of overdiagnosis. (Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN49127736.)

Summary Background Several trials have evaluated the effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening on prostate cancer (PC) mortality, with conflicting results. We report on the mortality in the European Randomized Trial of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) with two added years of follow-up. Methods The ERSPC is a randomized screening trial in men aged 50 – 74 years (N=182,160) at entry, with a predefined core age group of 55 – 69 years (N=162,388) conducted in eight European countries Men randomized to the intervention arm were offered prostate specific antigen (PSA)-based screening while those in the control arm were not offered screening. The primary outcome is PC mortality. Results After a median follow-up of 11 years the relative risk reduction for PC death in the intention to screen analysis was 21% (risk ratio 0.79, 95%CI 0.68 – 0.91, p=0.001), and 29% for screened men after correction for non-compliance in the core age group. The absolute difference in mortality amounted to 0.10 per 1000 person years or 1.07 per 1000 men randomized. The rate ratio of PC mortality during the follow-up years 10 -11 was 0.62 (95% CI 0.45 – 0.85, P=0.003). The numbers needed invite (NNI) and detect (NND) to prevent one PC death amounted to 1055 and 37 at 11 years of follow-up and 936 and 33 for the entire follow-up. There was no difference in all-cause mortality. Conclusions Two added years of follow-up consolidate our previous finding that PSA-based screening reduces PC mortality but does not affect all cause mortality. (The trial is registered in the ISRCTN registry under number 49127736.)

SUMMARY Recently it was contended that it is bloodstained cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) that is important in the diagnosis of subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) and not xanthochromia, and also that a normal CT scan and the absence of xanthochromia in the CSF do not exclude a ruptured intracranial aneurysm. The CSF findings were therefore reviewed of 11 1 patients with a proven SAH. All patients had xanthochromia of the CSF. Lumbar punctures were performed between 12 hours and one week after the ictus. Xanthochromia was still present in all (41) patients after 1 week, in all (32) patients after 2 weeks, in 20 of 22 patients after three weeks and in 10 of 14 patients after four weeks. In six years we identified only 12 patients with sudden headache, normal CT, bloodstained CSF, and no xanthochromia. Angiography was carried out in three and was negative. All 12 patients survived without disability and were not re-admitted with a SAH (mean follow up 4 years). It is concluded that it is still xanthochromia that is important in the diagnosis of SAH and not bloodstained CSF. Furthermore a normal CT scan and the absence of xanthochromia do exclude a ruptured aneurysm, provided xanthochromia is investigated by spectrophotometry and lumbar puncture is carried out between 12 hours and 2 weeks after the ictus.Recently MacDonald and Mendelow reviewed the case records of 100 patients with angiographically confirmed cerebral aneurysms.' Forty-six percent of the 68 patients who had undergone a lumbar puncture had bloodstained cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) but no xanthochromia. In 20 patients there was no blood on the CT scan; seven of these had blood in their CSF and again no xanthochromia. They concluded that it is bloodstained CSF that is important in the diagnosis of SAH and not xanthochromia, and also that a normal CT scan and the absence ofxanthochromia in the CSF do not exclude a ruptured aneurysm. The aims of our own study were to investigate if SAH can indeed occur without the development of xanthochromia in the CSF and secondly if patients with a normal CT scan and bloodstained CSF without xanthochromia may indeed have a ruptured aneurysm.

ABSTRACT-Objectives. The ratio between free and total prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in serum (F/T ratio) was shown to improve the differentiation between prostate carcinoma and benign conditions in selected series of patients. In this study the F/T ratio was analyzed for its ability to improve the specificity of total serum PSA, digital rectal examination (DRE), and transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) for the detection of prostate cancer in an unselected screening population of men identified in the Rotterdam population.Methods. In 1726 men between 55 and 76 years old, 67 prostate carcinomas were detected by DRE, TRUS, and total serum PSA (Abbott IMx, Hybritech Tandem E). The DELFIA ProStatus PSA EQM and ProStatus PSA Free/Total assays (Wallac) were applied in retrospect to determine total and free serum PSA. Age, total prostate and inner zone volumes were taken into consideration.Results. Sixty-seven carcinomas were detected, two by TRUS and three by DRE alone. Total serum PSA was the most important single predictor of prostate cancer, followed by DRE. The F/T ratio increased the specificity of total serum PSA in the PSA range between 4.0 and 10.0 ng/mL. However, this improved specificity was not significant, nor for gland volumes restricted to 50 mL or less.Conclusions. The combination of total serum PSA and DRE remains the standard for detection of prostate carcinoma in a screening population. Their specificity may be improved minimally by the F/T ratio, but not significantly in a sample of 1726 screened men. The threshold of the F/T ratio, and the optimal PSA range for its application, remains to be assessed prospectively. UROLOGYe 46: 773-778, 1995.

The Cyfra 21.1 assay is a newly developed test which measures in serum a fragment of cytokeratin 19. We evaluated this marker in 212 patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), predominantly stage 3a-b and 4, and compared it with three other markers: carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC) and tissue polypeptide antigen (TPA). Sensitivities for Cyfra 21.1, TPA, CEA and SCC (using cut-off levels corresponding to a 95% specificity for benign lung diseases) were 40%, 40%, 42% and 19% respectively. The sensitivity of CEA was significantly higher in patients with adenocarcinomas compared with the other three markers, while the sensitivity of Cyfra 21.1 and TPA was significantly higher in patients with squamous cell carcinomas. The value of Cyfra 21.1 for monitoring disease during chemotherapy could be evaluated in 23 patients with squamous cell carcinomas. When the cases of lead time were included a concordance between clinical evaluations according to WHO response criteria and evaluations according to changes in the marker levels of 74% was found. The criteria defined for marker response were a 65% decrease in the marker level for a partial response and a 40% increase for progressive disease. In particular, increasing levels of this marker indicated usually disease progression. In conclusion, Cyfra 21.1 is a useful serum marker for patients with NSCLC, especially for disease monitoring of patients with squamous cell carcinoma during and after chemotherapy.

The free-to-total PSA ratio may be used to decrease biopsies in patients with an intermediate PSA of 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml.

Recent studies have reported that serum IGF-I levels in the highest quartile of the normal range and IGF binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3) in the lowest quartile of the normal range are associated with an increased risk of future prostate cancer and/or presence of prostate cancer. It has also been suggested that the measurement of circulating total IGF-I concentrations might be a useful tool for the early detection of prostate cancer in men with moderately increased prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels. To determine whether circulating free IGF-I, total IGF-I, and IGFBP-3 levels can predict future prostate cancer risk, we prospectively studied prostate cancer characteristics in a cohort of men during two rounds (mean interval, 4 yr) of a population-based screening study for prostate cancer. Two hundred one prostate cancer cases were detected at the second-round screening (aged 55-70 yr), and all these subjects were enrolled in the case group for the present study. Prostate cancer had been confirmed by biopsy in all cases. These 201 subjects were matched with the 201 nonprostate cancer cases by age, serum PSA range at the first-round screening (PSA < 2 ng/ml, n = 67; PSA = 2-3 ng/ml, n = 67; and PSA = 3-4 ng/ml, n = 67), and residence area. At baseline, total IGF-I, free IGF-I, and IGFBP-3 levels and prostate volume of cases with prostate cancer were not different from those of healthy controls. PSA velocity was significantly different between cases and controls (P < 0.001).Stepwise forward logistic regression analysis showed that only PSA levels at baseline and PSA at round 2 after 4 yr are good predictors of prostate cancer, whereas total IGF-I, free IGF-I, and IGFBP-3 did not predict the development of prostate cancer. Only one of the 201 subjects with prostate cancer had metastases. Within the subjects with prostate cancer, there were no differences of IGF-I parameters with different tumor node metastasis categories and/or Gleason scores. Our study suggests that the measurement of serum IGF-I and/or IGFBP-3 concentrations in addition to PSA does not improve the identification of men at high risk to develop early stages of prostate cancer. In addition, our results indicate that the endocrine IGF-I system is not directly involved in the growth of the early stages of prostate cancer.

The PSA range 2.0 to 3.9 ng/ml is accessible for prostate cancer screening. Percent FPSA is of moderate value in avoiding unnecessary biopsies in the PSA range of 2.0 to 3.9 ng/ml. However, when assessing tumor aggressiveness in biopsy results, percent FPSA is predictive and can be used to select treatment options, such as watchful waiting.