We notice signatures of extreme events-like behavior in a laser based Ikeda map. The trajectory of the system occasionally travels a large distance away from the bounded chaotic region, which appears as intermittent spiking events in the temporal dynamics. The large spiking events satisfy the conditions of extreme events as usually observed in dynamical systems. The probability density function of the large spiking events shows a long-tail distribution consistent with the characteristics of rare events. The inter-event intervals obey a Poisson-like distribution. We locate the parameter regions of extreme events in phase diagrams. Furthermore, we study two Ikeda maps to explore how and when extreme events terminate via mutual interaction. A pure diffusion of information exchange is unable to terminate extreme events where synchronous occurrence of extreme events is only possible even for large interaction. On the other hand, a threshold-activated coupling can terminate extreme events above a critical value of mutual interaction.PACS numbers: 89.75.Fb, 05.45.aRare and recurrent large amplitude deviations of normally bounded dynamics are seen in many systems. Such occasional large amplitude spiking events are larger than a nominal value and their statistical distribution of occurrence shows qualitative similarities, in dynamical sense, with data records of natural disasters, rogue waves, tsunami, flood and share market crashes. These observations draw attention of researchers to investigate similar sudden large intermittent events in dynamical systems for developing an understanding of the origin of extreme events and exploring the possibilities of prediction. A laser based Ikeda map was studied earlier to profess the origin of a new dynamical phenomenon, namely, interior crisis, that leads to a sudden expansion of a chaotic attractor. This sudden expansion of attractor is not always a permanent property of the system, and it could be intermittent, which shows similarities with extreme events and this signature was overlooked earlier. Here we explore this extreme value dynamical features of the Ikeda map to confirm the phenomenon and the statistical properties of events. An investigation with two coupled maps has also been made in search of an appropriate coupling scheme that is able to terminate these undesirable extreme events.

We report rare and recurrent large spiking events in a heterogeneous network of superconducting Josephson junctions (JJ) connected through a resistive load and driven by a radio-frequency (rf) current in addition to a constant bias. The intermittent large spiking events show characteristic features of extreme events (EE) since they are larger than a statistically defined significant height. Under the influence of repulsive interactions and an impact of heterogeneity of damping parameters, the network splits into three sub-groups of junctions, one in incoherent rotational, another in coherent librational motion and a third sub-group originating EE. We are able to scan the whole population of junctions with their distinctive individual dynamical features either in EE mode or non-EE mode in parameter space. EE migrates spatially from one to another sub-group of junctions depending upon the repulsive strength and the damping parameter. For a weak repulsive coupling, all the junctions originate frequent large spiking events, in rotational motion when the average inter-spike-interval (ISI) is small, but it increases exponentially with repulsive interaction; it largely deviates from its exponential growth at a break point where EE triggers in a sub-group of junctions. The probability density of inter-event-intervals (IEI) in the subgroup exhibits a Poisson distribution. EE originates via bubbling instability of in-phase synchronization.

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Understanding and predicting uncertain things are the central themes of scientific evolution. Human beings revolve around these fears of uncertainties concerning various aspects like a global pandemic, health, finances, to name but a few. Dealing with this unavoidable part of life is far tougher due to the chaotic nature of these unpredictable activities. In the present article, we consider a global network of identical chaotic maps, which splits into two different clusters, despite the interaction between all nodes are uniform. The stability analysis of the spatially homogeneous chaotic solutions provides a critical coupling strength, before which we anticipate such partial synchronization. The distance between these two chaotic synchronized populations often deviates more than eight times of standard deviation from its long-term average. The probability density function of these highly deviated values fits well with the generalized extreme value distribution. Meanwhile, the distribution of recurrence time intervals between extreme events resembles the Weibull distribution. The existing literature helps us to characterize such events as extreme events using the significant height. These extremely high fluctuations are less frequent in terms of their occurrence. We determine numerically a range of coupling strength for these extremely large but recurrent events. On-off intermittency is the responsible mechanism underlying the formation of such extreme events. Besides understanding the generation of such extreme events and their statistical signature, we furnish forecasting these events using the powerful deep learning algorithms of an artificial recurrent neural network. This long short-term memory (LSTM) can offer handy one-step forecasting of these chaotic intermittent bursts. We also ensure the robustness of this forecasting model with two hundred hidden cells in each LSTM layer.

How long does a trajectory take to reach a stable equilibrium point in the basin of attraction of a dynamical system? This is a question of quite general interest and has stimulated a lot of activities in dynamical and stochastic systems where the metric of this estimation is often known as the transient or first passage time. In nonlinear systems, one often experiences long transients due to their underlying dynamics. We apply resetting or restart, an emerging concept in statistical physics and stochastic process, to mitigate the detrimental effects of prolonged transients in deterministic dynamical systems. We show that resetting the intrinsic dynamics intermittently to a spatial control line that passes through the equilibrium point can dramatically expedite its completion, resulting in a huge reduction in mean transient time and fluctuations around it. Moreover, our study reveals the emergence of an optimal restart time that globally minimizes the mean transient time. We corroborate the results with detailed numerical studies on two canonical setups in deterministic dynamical systems, namely, the Stuart–Landau oscillator and the Lorenz system. The key features—expedition of transient time—are found to be very generic under different resetting strategies. Our analysis opens up a door to control the mean and fluctuations in transient time by unifying the original dynamics with an external stochastic or periodic timer and poses open questions on the optimal way to harness transients in dynamical systems.