In order to solve the problems of time-consuming, laborconsuming and low accuracy of manual statistical calculation of maintenance interval in current communication equipment operation and maintenance management, a communication equipment condition based maintenance decision-making system based on real-time condition monitoring is proposed. Based on the actual operation status information data of communication equipment in the real-time database, the system uses the life prediction calculation method of communication equipment related components to calculate the service life (operation hours and startup times) under the current state, convert it into the equivalent service life under the benchmark operation conditions, and then compare it with the maximum maintenance life to predict the remaining life Based on the product of maintenance coefficient and service coefficient of line hours and startup times, the concept of equivalent service coefficient is proposed. According to whether the equivalent service coefficient of operation period and forecast period is equal, four maintenance decision-making models are established, and then the specific maintenance opportunity of communication equipment related components is determined.
In order to develop a scientific and cost reasonable maintenance strategy to solve the current high cost problem of running and maintenance management for communication equipment, introduce the same type set which has the similar running condition with the object set as the reference set and propose a life prediction method for communication equipment. The method solves the similarity factor of life evaluation parameters (running time, times of starting and stopping) in actual and benchmark running condition by using experience running data. In order to accurately calculate the running life of the object set under the actual running conditions and overcome the shortcomings of the traditional artificial statistics, the calculation method of real time and historical life is presented. Then based on the product of the maintenance factor and service factor of running time and the times of starting and stopping, the concept of the key parameters of the decision of condition-based maintenanceequivalent service factor is put forward; According to the relationship between the equivalent service factor in running time and to predict period, four kinds of decision models of condition-based maintenance are established. The historical data of communication equipment running were perioded to predict when given equivalent service factor.
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