Objective. To evaluate levels of biomarkers in preclinical rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to use elevated biomarkers to develop a model for the prediction of time to future diagnosis of seropositive RA.Methods. Stored samples obtained from 73 military cases with seropositive RA prior to RA diagnosis and from controls (mean 2.9 samples per case; samples collected a mean of 6.6 years prior to diagnosis) were tested for rheumatoid factor (RF) isotypes, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies, 14 cytokines and chemokines (by bead-based assay), and C-reactive protein (CRP).Results. Preclinical positivity for anti-CCP and/or >2 RF isotypes was >96% specific for future RA. In preclinical RA, levels of the following were positive in a significantly greater proportion of RA cases versus controls: interleukin-1␣ (IL-1␣), IL-1␤, IL-6, IL-10, IL-12p40, IL-12p70, IL-15, fibroblast growth factor 2, flt-3 ligand, tumor necrosis factor ␣, interferon-␥-inducible 10-kd protein, granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, and CRP. Also, increasing numbers of elevated cytokines/chemokines were present in cases nearer to the time of diagnosis. RA patients who were >40 years old at diagnosis had a higher proportion of samples positive for cytokines/chemokines 5-10 years prior to diagnosis than did patients who were <40 years old at diagnosis (P < 0.01). In regression modeling using only case samples positive for autoantibodies highly specific for future RA, increasing numbers of cytokines/chemokines were predictive of decreased time to diagnosis, and the predicted time to diagnosis based on cytokines/chemokines was longer in older compared with younger cases.Conclusion. Levels of autoantibodies, cytokines/ chemokines, and CRP are elevated in the preclinical period of RA development. In preclinical autoantibodypositive cases, the number of elevated cytokines/ chemokines is predictive of the time of diagnosis of future RA in an age-dependent manner.Multiple studies have demonstrated that levels of disease-related biomarkers may be elevated prior to the onset of symptomatic rheumatoid arthritis (RA). These biomarkers include rheumatoid factor (RF) and antibodies to citrullinated protein antigens, as well as secre-

A B S T R A C T PurposeRecent data showed improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) when adding everolimus to exemestane in patients with advanced breast cancer experiencing recurrence/progression after nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (AI) therapy. Here, we report clinical outcomes of combining the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitor temsirolimus with letrozole in AI-naive patients. Patients and MethodsThis phase III randomized placebo-controlled study tested efficacy/safety of first-line oral letrozole 2.5 mg daily/temsirolimus 30 mg daily (5 days every 2 weeks) versus letrozole/placebo in 1,112 patients with AI-naive, hormone receptor-positive advanced disease. An independent data monitoring committee recommended study termination for futility at the second preplanned interim analysis (382 PFS events). ResultsPatients were balanced (median age, 63 years; 10% stage III, 40% had received adjuvant endocrine therapy). Those on letrozole/temsirolimus experienced more grade 3 to 4 events (37% v 24%). There was no overall improvement in primary end point PFS (median, 9 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.90; 95% CI, 0.76 to 1.07; P ϭ .25) nor in the 40% patient subset with prior adjuvant endocrine therapy. An exploratory analysis showed improved PFS favoring letrozole/temsirolimus in patients Յ age 65 years (9.0 v 5.6 months; HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.93; P ϭ .009), which was separately examined by an exploratory analysis of 5-month PFS using subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot methodology (P ϭ .003). ConclusionAdding temsirolimus to letrozole did not improve PFS as first-line therapy in patients with AI-naive advanced breast cancer. Exploratory analyses of benefit in younger postmenopausal patients require external confirmation.

Corresponding author: V. Michael Holers, MD, Division of Rheumatology, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center, Barbara Davis Center, 1775 North Ursula Street, Aurora, Colorado 80045, Phone: (303) Fax: (303) 724-7581, Michael.Holers@uchsc.edu. Address for reprint requests: Same as above * These two authors contributed equally to the study. COMPETING INTERESTSThe authors declare that they have no competing interests. AUTHORS' CONTRIBUTIONSDM participated in the design and analysis of this study and the writing of this manuscript. KD participated in the analysis of data and preparation of manuscript. LP participated in the analysis of samples and data and preparation of manuscript. AB and AL contributed statistical expertise in the analysis of data for this manuscript. CW participated in subject evaluation and determination of eligibility for this study MR participated in the design of this study and procurement of the serum samples for analysis WG participated in the design of this study and procurement of the serum samples for analysis, as well as subject evaluation and determination of eligibility for this study. JN participated in the design and analysis of this study and preparation of manuscript. VMH participated in the design and analysis of this study, antibody testing, and manuscript preparation. DISCLAIMERThe views expressed in this abstract are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy of the Department of the Army, Department of Defense, or U.S. Government.The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all authors and does grant on behalf of all authors, an exclusive license (or non-exclusive for government employees) on a worldwide basis to the BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and its Licensees to permit this article to be published in Annals of Rheumatic Diseases editions and any other BMJPGL products to exploit all subsidiary rights, as set out in our license http://ard.bmjjournals.com/ifora/licence.pdf. Objectives-This study investigated factors that may influence the prevalence and timing of appearance of rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies during the pre-clinical phase of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) development. NIH Public AccessMethods-243 serial pre-diagnosis serum samples from 83 subjects with RA were examined for the presence of RF and anti-CCP antibodies.Results-57% and 61% of subjects had at least one pre-diagnosis sample positive for RF or anti-CCP, respectively. Gender and race were not significantly associated with the prevalence or timing of pre-clinical antibody appearance. Pre-clinical anti-CCP positivity was strongly associated with the development of erosive RA (OR 4.64; 95% CI 1.71-12.63; p=0.003), but RF was not (p=0.11). Additionally, as age at the time of diagnosis of RA increased the duration of pre-diagnosis antibody positivity for RF and anti-CCP increased, with the longest duration of preclinical antibody positivity seen in patients diagnosed with RA over the age of 40. In ...

Fourier transform infrared imaging Nutrient transport Nucleus pulposus cell Low back pain s u m m a r y Objective: Intradiscal biologic therapy is a promising strategy for managing intervertebral disc degeneration. However, these therapies require a rich nutrient supply, which may be limited by the transport properties of the cartilage endplate (CEP). This study investigated how fluctuations in CEP transport properties impact nutrient diffusion and disc cell survival and function. Design: Human CEP tissues harvested from six fresh cadaveric lumbar spines (38e66 years old) were placed at the open sides of diffusion chambers. Bovine nucleus pulposus (NP) cells cultured inside the chambers were nourished exclusively by nutrients diffusing through the CEP tissues. After 72 h in culture, depth-dependent NP cell viability and gene expression were measured, and related to CEP transport properties and biochemical composition determined using fluorescence recovery after photobleaching and Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy. Results: Solute diffusivity varied nearly 4-fold amongst the CEPs studied, and chambers with the least permeable CEPs appeared to have lower aggrecan, collagen-2, and matrix metalloproteinase-2 gene expression, as well as a significantly shorter viable distance from the CEP/nutrient interface. Increasing chamber cell density shortened the viable distance; however, this effect was lost for low-diffusivity CEPs, which suggests that these CEPs may not provide enough nutrient diffusion to satisfy cell demands. Solute diffusivity in the CEP was associated with biochemical composition: low-diffusivity CEPs had greater amounts of collagen and aggrecan, more mineral, and lower cross-link maturity. Conclusions: CEP transport properties dramatically affect NP cell survival/function. Degeneration-related CEP matrix changes could hinder the success of biologic therapies that require increased nutrient supply.

The current policy for determining priority for organ allocation is based on the model for end stage liver disease (MELD). We hypothesize that severity of graft dysfunction assessed by either the MELD score or the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score correlates with mortality after liver retransplantation (re-OLT). To test this hypothesis, we analyzed the outcome of 40 consecutive patients who received re-OLT more than 90 days after primary orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The Kaplan-Meier 1-year and 5-year survival rates after re-OLT were 69% and 62%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) values generated by the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were 0.82 (CI 0.70-0.94) and 0.68 (CI 0.49-0.86), respectively (P ‫؍‬ .11), for the CTP and MELD models in predicting 1-year mortality after re-OLT. The 1-year and 5-year survival rates for patients with CTP scores less than 10 were 100% versus 50% and 40%, respectively, for CTP scores of at least 10 (P ‫؍‬ .0006). Patients with MELD scores less than or equal to 25 had 1-year and 5-year survival rates of 89% and 79%, respectively, versus 53% and 47%, respectively, for MELD scores greater than 25 (P ‫؍‬ .038). Other mortality predictors include hepatic encephalopathy, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, recurrent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, and creatinine level of 2 mg/dL or higher. Analysis of an independent cohort of 49 patients showed a trend for a correlation between CTP and MELD scores with 1-year mortality, with AUC of 0.59 and 0.57, in respective ROC curves. In conclusion, our results suggest that severity of graft failure based on CTP and MELD scores may be associated with worse outcome after re-OLT and provide a cautionary note for the "sickest first" policy of organ allocation. (HEPATOLOGY 2004;39:230 -238.)