Weakening of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is traditionally linked with large-scale perturbations and circulations. However, the impacts of local changes in land use and land cover (LULC) on ISMR have yet to be explored. Here, we analyzed this topic using the regional Weather Research and Forecasting model with European Center for Medium range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) reanalysis data for the years 2000–2010 as a boundary condition and with LULC data from 1987 and 2005. The differences in LULC between 1987 and 2005 showed deforestation with conversion of forest land to crop land, though the magnitude of such conversion is uncertain because of the coarse resolution of satellite images and use of differential sources and methods for data extraction. We performed a sensitivity analysis to understand the impacts of large-scale deforestation in India on monsoon precipitation and found such impacts are similar to the observed changes in terms of spatial patterns and magnitude. We found that deforestation results in weakening of the ISMR because of the decrease in evapotranspiration and subsequent decrease in the recycled component of precipitation.
Gap acceptance predictions provide very important inputs for performance evaluation and safety analysis of uncontrolled intersections and pedestrian midblock crossings. The focus of this paper is on the application of support vector machines (SVMs) in understanding and classifying gaps at these facilities. The SVMs are supervised learning techniques originating from statistical learning theory and are widely used for classification and regression. In this paper, the feasibility of the SVM in analyzing gap acceptance is examined by comparing its results with existing statistical methods. To accomplish that objective, SVM and binary logit models (BLMs) were developed and compared by using data collected at three types of uncontrolled intersections. SVM performance was found to be comparable with that of the BLM in all cases and better in a few. Also, the categorical statistics and skill scores used for validating gap acceptance data revealed that the SVM performed reasonably well. Thus, the SVM technique can be used to classify and predict accepted and rejected gap values according to speed and distance of oncoming vehicles. This technique can be used in advance safety warning systems for vehicles and pedestrians waiting to cross major stream vehicles.
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