Model time series merupakan model yang digunakan untuk memprediksi masa depan dengan menggunakan data masa lalu, salah satu dari model time series adalah Exponential Smoothing. Metode Exponential Smoothing adalah prosedur perbaikan yang dilakukan secara terus-menerus pada peramalan terhadap data yang terbaru. Dalam penelitian ini metode Exponential Smoothing diterapkan untuk meramalkan jumlah Pencari Kerja di Provinsi Jambi dengan menggunakan data dari periode Januari 2018 sampai Desember 2021. langkah- langkah yang digunakan untuk memperoleh output dari penelitian ini terdapat 4 tahap, yaitu 1) Identifikasi data, 2) Pemodelan, 3) Peramalan, 4) Evaluasi hasil peramalan dengan MAE (Mean Absolute Error) dan MSE (Mean Square Error). Model dari Holt untuk Pencari Kerja Laki-laki yaitu: dan Pencari Kerja Perempuan . Hal ini sangat penting untuk diamati mengingat pentingnya suatu ramalan demi terbentuknya Lapangan Kerja untuk para Pencari Kerja di Provinsi Jambi kedepannya yang terdaftar di Dinas Sosial, Tenaga Kerja dan Transmigrasi Provinsi Jambi.
Unemployment is an employment problem that is often faced in every region, especially in Jambi Province. The indicator used to determine the number of unemployed is the open unemployment rate (TPT). High unemployment can be a major source of poverty that can lead to crime and hinder the process of economic development. As an initial precaution for the government before the increase in unemployment, which is to estimate the future TPT in Jambi Province. One of the methods used in estimating TPT in Jambi Province is the Double Exponential Smoothing Method from Holt. The measure of the forecast error uses the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE). The aim is to obtain estimated TPT results in Jambi Province in the coming year, using Holt's Double Exponential Smoothing Method. The estimation results obtained, for TPT data there is a MAPE value of 18.96% with parameters = 0.9 and = 0.2. The estimation model obtained is = . The estimation results show that the TPT rate will continue to increase next year, it can be taken into consideration for the government in determining future plans to reduce TPT in order to accelerate economic development in Jambi Province.
Investment is an activity carried out by investors by placing their funds in an asset. The purpose of investment is to gain long-term profits in the future. These profits come from changes in the price of assets in the future, which refers to the increase in the value of an asset over time. Currently, there are several types of investments. However, the type of investment that is quite widely practiced by Indonesian society is stock investment. The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) groups the stocks available in the stock market into several indexes. One index that is currently receiving attention from Indonesian society is the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The JII is a collection of shares from companies that adhere to sharia principles in their business operations. Investment activities must be carried out carefully by conducting analysis beforehand so that investors do not make mistakes in choosing the stocks to be purchased. Several popular methods for selecting stocks are the Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen indexes. These three indexes can be used to select the best stocks based on their respective criteria. This study combine these three indexes to prioritize the formation of a portfolio. The data used in this study is the closing value of stock prices in the JII index from March 2018 to February 2023. The optimization resulted in a composition of 69.17% for MDKA shares, 26.55% for HRUM shares, and 4.28% for BRIS shares of the total portfolio composition.
<p><strong><em>Abstract.</em></strong> <em> Increasing the competitiveness of Small and Medium Industries (IKM), especially in the food and beverage sector, is important to do. The food and beverage sector is one of the leading commodities in the country that needs to improve its competitiveness and has an important role in improving the national economy. To increase the competitiveness of food products, improvements can be made to the appearance of packaging and attractive promotions. In addition, it is also necessary to have an organized workplace that can increase work productivity. Peyek Mak'a Abid is one of the food IKMs located in Jakarta which still has some problems in running its industry. These problems include unattractive trademark logos, unattractive product packaging designs, lack of product photos used for marketing, and production sites that are not well organized. This assistance activity aims to improve the management of IKM Peyek Mak'a Abid by solving the problems experienced. The implementation method starts with a baseline assessment, continues with training, consultation and coaching, and ends with an evaluation. Mentoring activities are carried out both offline and online during the August-November 2022 period. The results of the assistance are in the form of making a new brand logo, labels for packaging displays, product photos, and making price lists as marketing tools, as well as implementing 5S in production sites.</em></p><p> </p><p><strong>Abstrak.</strong> Peningkatan daya saing pada Industri Kecil dan Menengah (IKM), khususnya pada sektor makanan dan minuman penting untuk dilakukan. Hal ini dikarenakan sektor makanan dan minuman merupakan komoditas unggulan serta memliki peran penting dalam meningkatkan perekonomian nasional. Untuk meningkatkan daya saing pada produk makanan dapat dilakukan perbaikan pada tampilan kemasan serta promosi yang menarik. Selain itu juga diperlukannya tempat kerja yang terorganisasi yang dapat meningkatkan produktivitas kerja. Peyek Mak’a Abid merupakan salah satu IKM makanan yang berlokasi di Jakarta yang masih memiliki beberapa masalah dalam menjalankan industrinya. Permasalahan tersebut diantaranya adalah logo merek dagang yang kurang menarik, desain kemasan produk yang kurang menarik, belum adanya foto produk yang digunakan untuk melakukan pemasaran, serta tempat produksi yang belum teroganisasi dengan baik. Kegiatan pendampingan pada Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan pengelolaan IKM Peyek Mak’a Abid dengan menyelesaikan permasalahan yang dialami. Metode pelaksanaan dimulai dengan <em>baseline assessment</em>, dilanjutkan dengan pelatihan, konsultasi dan <em>coaching</em>, dan diakhiri dengan evaluasi. Kegiatan pendampingan dilakukan secara luring maupun daring selama periode Agustus- November 2022. Hasil pendampingan berupa pembuatan logo merek baru, label untuk tampilan kemasan, foto produk dan pembuatan <em>price list</em> sebagai sarana pemasaran, serta penerapan 5R di tempat produksi.</p><p> </p><div id="gtx-trans" style="position: absolute; left: -108px; top: 542.667px;"> </div>
The existence of a Base Transceiver Station (BTS) and the strength of cell phone signals in an area have greatly affected the ease of communication and exchanging information between people. This is one aspect to measure technological developments in a region. This study aims to use the K-Means algorithm to classify districts or cities in Bengkulu Province based on the proportion of BTS presence, the proportion of villages with strong telephone signals, and the proportion of villages with 4G internet signals. There are three clusters based on these three variables and there are still significant differences between districts or cities in Bengkulu Province. The output of this study becomes an input for the Bengkulu provincial government to be able to pay attention to the distribution of communication infrastructures in their province.
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