We conduct a long-term epidemiology study of COVID-19 in India from Mar 2020 to May 2021 using a number of indicators such as active cases, daily new cases, and deaths, on a micro (district level, per capita) and macro level (state level). Our automated shape-based cluster discovery of the per capita daily new cases ( case rate ) during the first wave in India (between Mar 2020 and Jan 2021) revealed four distinct shape patterns: sharp-rise and decline, steady-rise and decline, plateau and multiple relatively high peaks. These clusters exhibit a strong geographical correlation. To determine the correspondence between clusters obtained by different indicators, we design a novel metric for determining edge-weights in their intersection graph . This is used for comparative analysis and to develop informative hierarchical cartographic visualizations. We then perform dynamic cluster analysis for different time windows to answer some pertinent questions. Is the second wave similar to or different from the first wave ? How has the relative ranking (on micro- and macro-level indicators) of the states varied over the last one year? How much medical resources have been stressed during the peak? We demonstrate that using multiple indicators, we can assess the impact of the epidemic holistically in a particular geography. Our analysis techniques and insights obtained can help the local and state governments in monitoring and managing COVID-19 situation and fine-tuning the ongoing vaccination drive in India.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.