Background and Purpose-Estimates of risk of stroke recurrence are widely variable and focused on the shortterm. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the pooled cumulative risk of stroke recurrence. Methods-Studies reporting cumulative risk of recurrence after first-ever stroke were identified using electronic databases and by manually searching relevant journals and conference abstracts. Overall cumulative risks of stroke recurrence at 30 days and 1, 5, and 10 years after first stroke were calculated, and analyses for heterogeneity were conducted. A Weibull model was fitted to the risk of stroke recurrence of the individual studies and pooled estimates were calculated with 95% CI. Results-Sixteen studies were identified, of which 13 studies reported cumulative risk of stroke recurrence in 9115survivors. The pooled cumulative risk was 3.1% (95% CI, 1.7-4.4) at 30 days, 11.1% (95% CI, 9.0 -13.3) at 1 year, 26.4% (95% CI, 20.1-32.8) at 5 years, and 39.2% (95% CI, 27.2-51.2) at 10 years after initial stroke. Substantial heterogeneity was found at all time points. This study also demonstrates a temporal reduction in 5-year risk of stroke recurrence from 32% to 16.2% across the studies. Conclusions-The cumulative risk of recurrence varies greatly up to 10 years. This may be explained by differences in case mix and changes in secondary prevention over time However, methodological differences are likely to play an important role and consensus on definitions would improve future comparability of estimates and characterization of groups of stroke survivors at increased risk of recurrence. (Stroke. 2011;42:1489-1494.)Key Words: frequency Ⅲ predictors Ⅲ recurrence Ⅲ stroke P atients surviving an initial stroke are known to be at significantly increased risk for further strokes compared to the general population. 1 However, studies show considerable variation in the estimation of risk of stroke recurrence in both the early years and in the long-term after first stroke. 2 For example, the cumulative risk of stroke recurrence up to 5 years after initial stroke has been reported in population-based studies as 19% in Manhattan, 29% in Rochester, 30% in Oxfordshire, and 32% in Perth. [3][4][5][6] Accurate identification of the time at which stroke survivors are at increased risk for stroke recurrence is important for modifiable risk factors to target and to help reduce the risk of recurrence occurring. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to estimate the pooled cumulative risk of stroke recurrence at time points ranging from 30 days to 10 years after first-ever stroke. Materials and Methods Search Strategy and Selection CriteriaThis review included studies from hospital-based or communitybased stroke registers reporting the risk of stroke recurrence at any time point after first-ever stroke irrespective of study design and setting or language. Ovid Medline (1950 -November 2009), EMBASE (1950 -November 2009, and the Web of Science were searched using both medical subject heading terms ...

Charles Wolfe and colleagues collected data from the South London Stroke Register on 3,373 first strokes registered between 1995 and 2006 and showed that between 20% and 30% of survivors have poor outcomes up to 10 years after stroke.

Background and Purpose-Data monitoring trends in stroke risk among different ethnic groups are lacking. Thus, we investigated trends in stroke incidence and modifiable stroke risk factors over a 10-year time period between different ethnic groups. Methods-Changes in stroke incidence were investigated with the South London Stroke Register (SLSR). The SLSR is a population-based stroke register, covering a multiethnic population of 271 817 inhabitants in South London with 63% white, 28% black, and 9% of other ethnic group (2001 Census). Results-Between 1995 and 2004, 2874 patients with first-ever stroke of all age groups were included. Total stroke incidence decreased over the 10-year study period in men (incidence rate ratio 1995 to 1996 versus 2003 0.82, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.97) and in women (IRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.90). A similar decline in total stroke incidence could be observed in whites for men and women (IRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.93 versus IRR 0.73, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.89, respectively); in blacks, total stroke incidence was reducing only in women (IRR 0.48, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.75). In whites, the prevalence of prior-to-stroke hypertension (Pϭ0.0017), atrial fibrillation (Pϭ0.0113), and smoking (Pϭ0.0177) decreased; no statistically significant changes in prior-to-stroke risk factors were observed in blacks. Total stroke incidence was higher in blacks compared to whites (IRR 1.27, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.46 in men; IRR 1.29, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.50 in women), but the black-white gap reduced during the 10-year time period (IRR 1.43, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.82 in 1995 to 1996 to 1.18, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.49 in 2003 to 2004). Conclusions-Stroke incidence decreased over a 10-year time period. The greatest decline in incidence was observed in black women, but ethnic group disparities still exist, indicating a higher stroke risk in black people compared to white people. Advances in risk factor reduction observed in the white population were failed transferring to the black population. (Stroke. 2008;39:2204-2210.)

Background -Data estimating the risk of, and predictors for long-term stroke

Background and Purpose-Stroke is a major public health concern worldwide and survivors remain at high risk of recurrence. Secondary prevention requires management of multiple risk factors but current management is suboptimal. Evidence of the effectiveness of interventions to improve poststroke risk factor management from well-designed trials is limited. We assessed the effectiveness of a patient and general practitioner systematic follow-up intervention to improve risk factor management after stroke. Methods-We undertook a pragmatic cluster trial involving 523 consecutive incident stroke survivors identified using the population South London Stroke Register and registered with general practices in inner-city London. Practices were randomized to receive the intervention or usual care. The intervention entailed systematically identifying stroke survivors' risk factors for recurrence and providing tailored evidence-based management advice to general practitioners, patients, and caregivers at 10 weeks, 5 months, and 8 months poststroke. The primary outcome was management of key modifiable risk factors for stroke at 1 year with 3 end points: treatment with antihypertensive therapy, treatment with antiplatelet therapy, and smoking cessation. Hierarchical testing was used to adjust for multiple endpoints. Analysis was by intention to treat. This study is registered as number ISRCTN10730637. Results-The absolute risk reduction (and 95% CI) for each outcome was Ϫ3.7% (Ϫ13.0% to 5.6%) for treatment with antihypertensives; Ϫ2.3% (Ϫ12.0% to 7.6%) for treatment with antiplatelets; and Ϫ0.6% (Ϫ14.5% to 13.5%) for smoking cessation. Treatment effects were confirmed in the generalized linear model adjusting for clustering and predefined confounders. Conclusions-No improvement in risk factor management was demonstrated as a result of this patient, caregiver, and healthcare professional systematic follow-up system. Further evidence of how to effectively alter behavior of patients/caregivers and professionals is required if tailored information on risk and its treatment is to be of any clinical benefit. (Stroke. 2010;41:2470-2476.)

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Despite study limitations, RARC had the lowest transfusion and complication rates and the shortest length of stay, although taking the longest to perform.

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