Background Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) can affect health and well-being across the life course. Resilience is an individual characteristic that is known to help negate the effect of adversities and potentially transform toxic stress into tolerable stress. Having access to a trusted adult during childhood is critical to helping children build resiliency. Here, we aim to understand the relationship between always having access to trusted adult support and childhood resilience resources, and examine which sources of personal adult support and the number of sources of adult support, best foster childhood resilience. Methods A Welsh national cross-sectional retrospective survey (n = 2497), using a stratified random probability sample. Data were collected via face-to-face interviews at participants’ places of residence by trained interviewers. Analyses use chi-square and binary logistic regression methods. Outcome measures were childhood resilience resources, access to an always-available trusted adult, and sources of personal adult support. Results Prevalence of access to an always-available trusted adult decreased with increasing number of ACEs from 86.6% of individuals with no ACEs, to 44.4% of those with four or more ACEs (≥ 4). In addition, for those experiencing ≥ 4 ACEs, individuals with no access to a trusted adult were substantially less likely than those with access, to report childhood resilience resources. For example, for individuals with ≥ 4 ACEs, those with access to an always-available trusted adult were 5.6 times more likely to have had supportive friends and 5.7 times more likely to have been given opportunities to develop skills to succeed in life, compared to those with no access to a trusted adult. When looking at sources of personal adult support, resilience levels increased dramatically for those individuals who had either one parent only or two parents as sources of support, in comparison to those without parental support. Conclusions Analyses here suggest strong relationships between elements of childhood resilience, constant access to trusted adults and different sources of personal adult support. While the eradication of ACEs remains unlikely, actions to strengthen childhood access to trusted adults may partially ease immediate harms and protect future generations.

Background A nationally representative COVID-19 Public Engagement Survey for Wales, led by the World Health Organization Collaborating Centre on Investment for Health and Well-being at Public Health Wales, has been ongoing from April 2020, helping to inform a sustainable recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. A data analysis was performed as part of the Welsh Health Equity Status Report initiative focusing on income and job security, which influences living conditions and lifestyle behaviours. Methods A Generalized Linear Model was used to calculate the predicted probability of response for variables of interest, e.g. whether an individual reported being in a worse financial situation due to the pandemic, across the life course, socio-economic gradient and sex. Data collected via telephone between 03 April - 25 July 2020 produced a sample ranging between approx. 2,500 - 7,500 participants. The sample was weighted according to deprivation quintile (using the Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation), age group and sex. Results A significantly higher proportion of survey respondents (18 - 24 years of age) reported being worried about losing their job or not being able to find one, than any other age group. A significantly higher proportion of survey respondents in the most deprived population fifth (33.7%) reported being in a worse financial situation as a result of the restrictions, compared to the least deprived fifth (21.7%). Conclusions COVID-19 has had a major impact on people's lives and livelihoods in Wales, hitting the most deprived and vulnerable the most. It has increased job insecurity, especially among younger/working age people. The government has taken unprecedented financial and other measures to address inequities; nevertheless, most are temporary and not specifically targeted to support specific (vulnerable) groups. Measures to promote sustainable economic recovery, job security and safeguarding due to the COVID-19 pandemic need continuity and consistency Key messages COVID-19 has had a significant impact on income and job security in Wales, disproportionately affecting the most deprived. To mitigate COVID-19 harms, a continuous and consistent focus on equity is essential to promote sustainable economic recovery.

Background There is increasing recognition that Public Health Institutes need to build on the traditional value for money approach, to find ways to capture, measure and show the full range of their outcomes, impacts and related value. As part of a drive to measure value and impact in public health and demonstrate how investment in health can contribute to an Economy of Well-being, Public Health Wales has developed an interactive database to capture and illustrate the social value of public health services and interventions. Methods Scoping reviews of both academic and grey literature were undertaken to populate a database of health economics evaluations of public health interventions, focusing on Social Return on Investment (SROI). In addition, a simulated methodology was developed which allows the evidence to be manipulated and made relevant to individual contexts to help inform investment decisions at a local level. Results To date, the database has accumulated an excess of 50 SROI evaluations of various public health interventions, across areas including mental health, behaviour change, physical activity, nutrition, employment and primary care. The evaluations are based on European and International contexts, are published in both grey and academic sources, and are of varying quality. Conclusions SROI is a credible method for measuring the value of wider social, economic and environment outcomes achieved from public health interventions. The Social Value Database and Simulator presents a collation of studies and analysis utilising innovative health economics methods. Key messages • Public Health Wales’ Social Value Database and Simulator collates economic evaluations of public health interventions, to be used by policy makers to enable improved investment in health and well-being. • Social Return on Investment is a credible method for measuring the wider impact created by public health interventions.

Issue Global sustainability challenges related to health, inequity, the environment and the economy require urgent innovative action and focus on prevention. Fair evidence-informed prioritisation of scarce resources is pivotal to ensure sustainable investment policies and practices. It is key to capture the value and return on investment of public health (prevention) programmes in order to show their wider benefit to people, communities, society, economy and our planet. Description The Evidencing Value project builds on a global and national drive towards measuring the value of health services and interventions. The World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Investment in Health and Well-being (WHO CC) is developing an innovative approach and digital solution to assess the holistic (economic, social and environmental) value and return on investment of public health programmes. It uses a Social Return on Investment (SROI) approach, which involves key stakeholders from the beginning and measures what matters most. This helps to identify the wider impact and outcomes of different health protection, disease prevention and health promotion programmes. The evidence is embedded in an interactive digital database to inform investment prioritisation and quality improvement. Results Project outputs include: (i) structured evidence repository detailing the value of public health services and interventions; (ii) interactive digital database for storage, manipulation and presentation of data; (iii) SROI pilots; and (iv) generalised framework for investing in public health/prevention to be used by other public bodies and countries. Lessons It is essential to understand the wider impact and value of public health programmes to facilitate Universal Health Coverage and sustainable investment for health and wellbeing. This project uses an innovative approach and digital solution to enable evidence informed resource allocation and decision-making focused on prevention. Key messages Evidencing value of public health supports the case for investing in prevention. Using innovative methods and digital solutions is essential to inform sustainable investment for health.

BackgroundThe Welsh Health Equity Status Report initiative (WHESRi) applies an innovative WHO framework to map the wider impacts of COVID-19 on health equity. The framework is a mechanism to promote policy action and commitment for health equity and identifies five essential conditions needed to live a healthy life; namely, health services, income security, living conditions, social and human capital, and working conditions. We used the framework to assess the immediate health equity impacts of COVID-19 in Wales. MethodsTen relevant variables from Public Health Wales' public engagement survey on health and wellbeing during COVID-19 (captured April 3-July 25, 2020) were mapped to each of the five essential conditions, as defined by the European Health Equity Status Report initiative. Variables were chosen based on alignment to the essential conditions, research objectives and data quality. Estimated marginal means were disaggregated by sociodemographic factors on a nationally representative study sample ranging from 862 to 4747 participants (dependent on duration for which question was asked). Ethical approval was not required as per guidance from the National Health Service Health Research Association ethics decision tool. Findings The WHESRi framework allowed the assessment and quantification of the immediate impacts of COVID-19 on the wider determinants of health through the lens of the five essential conditions. For example, in relation to income security, a significantly higher proportion (181 [50•6%] of 358; p<0•05) of survey respondents aged 18-24 years reported being worried about losing their job, or not being able to find one, than any other age group. Of those respondents aged 18-24 years, 54•4% (p<0•05) of men (equivalent to 78 000) reported being worried, compared with 44•3% (p<0•05) of women (equivalent to 72 000), a difference of 10•1%.Interpretation Application of the WHESRi framework allowed us to draw a holistic picture of health and its determinants at the population level. This application has highlighted quantifiable differences in impacts between population groups, and encouraged the dialogue around policy action. A priority moving forward is to apply the framework to vulnerable population groups and population health priorities to assess the health equity impacts according to factors such as rurality, disability, and ethnicity. Our findings resulting from the application of this WHO framework can be used to enable an equitable and sustainable recovery from the pandemic; they form part of a European initiative for health equity and provide learning to other countries from Wales' role as an innovation site.