Existing optimality models of propagule size and number are not appropriate for many organisms. First, existing models assume a monotonically increasing offspring fitness/propagule size relationship. However, offspring survival during certain stages may decrease with increasing propagule size, generating a peaked offspring fitness/propagule size function (e.g., egg size in oxygen-limited aquatic environments). Second, existing models typically do not consider maternal effects on total reproductive output and the expression of offspring survival/propagule size relationships. However, larger females often have greater total egg production and may provide better habitats for their offspring. We develop a specific optimality model that incorporates these effects and test its predictions using data from salmonid fishes. We then outline a general model without assuming specific functional forms and test its predictions using data from freshwater fishes. Our theoretical and empirical results illustrate that, when offspring survival is negatively correlated with propagule size, optimal propagule size is larger in better habitats. When larger females provide better habitats, their optimal propagule size is larger. Nevertheless, propagule number should increase more rapidly than propagule size for a given increase in maternal size. In the absence of density dependence, females with greater relative reproductive output (i.e., for a given body size) should produce more but not larger propagules.
This paper introduces the theory and application of discrete choice models to resource selection studies. Discrete choice models calculate the probability of an individual selecting a resource as a function of the attributes of that resource and all other available resources. The data for these attributes may be continuous or categorical. When availability is the same for all individuals and only two resources are available, the multinomial logit discrete choice model reduces to the logistic model. Discrete choice models and advances in GIS technology give the researcher flexibility in defining resource availability separately for each individual over time and space. The output of the discrete choice approach also provides managers with a tool to explore the effects of potential management actions and provides researchers with new hypotheses deserving of further investigation. To illustrate the application of discrete choice models to resource selection studies, we present a case study of summer diurnal bed site selection by elk (Cervus elaphus) in Custer State Park, South Dakota, United States. The results demonstrate the importance of factors relating to thermal regulation, hiding cover, and potentially forage, in elk bed site selection in this region.
Micro-cavity based frequency combs, or 'micro-combs' [1,2], have enabled many fundamental breakthroughs [3-21] through the discovery of temporal cavity-solitons. These self-localised waves, described by the Lugiato-Lefever equation [22], are sustained by a background of radiation usually containing 95% of the power [23]. Simple methods for their efficient generation and control are currently being investigated to finally establish micro-combs as out-of-the-lab tools [24]. Here, we demonstrate micro-comb laser cavity-solitons. Laser cavity-solitons are intrinsically background free and have underpinned key breakthroughs in semiconductor lasers [22,25-28]. By merging their properties with the physics of multi-mode systems [29], we provide a new paradigm for soliton generation and control in micro-cavities. We demonstrate 50 nm wide bright soliton combs induced at average powers more than one order of magnitude lower than the Lugiato-Lefever soliton power threshold [22], measuring a mode efficiency of 75% versus the theoretical limit of 5% for bright Lugiato-Lefever solitons [23]. Finally, we can tune the repetition-rate by well over a megahertz without any active feedback. Optical frequency combs based on micro-cavity resonators, also called 'micro-combs', offer the promise of achieving the full capability of their bulk counterparts, yet in an integrated footprint [1, 2]. They have enabled major breakthroughs in spectroscopy [3,4], communications [5,6] microwave photonics [7], frequency synthesis [8], optical ranging [9,10], quantum sources [11, 12], metrology [13,14] and astrocombs [15,16]. Of particular importance has been the discovery of temporal cavity-solitons in micro-cavities [17-21]. Temporal cavity-solitons [2,17-23] are an important example of dissipative solitons-self-confined waves balancing dispersion with the nonlinear phase-shift in lossy systems [30]. Practical applications of these pulses for micro-combs, however, still face significant challenges. In particular, they achieve a limited mode efficiency, defined as the fraction of optical power residing in the comb modes other than the most powerful one. Solitons in micro-cavities exist as localised states upon a background, usually a continuous-wave (CW) [2,17-23], which results in a dominant mode in the comb spectrum. In this configuration, described by the
Abstract. Although numerous studies have examined the individual effects of increased temperatures and N deposition on soil biogeochemical cycling, few have considered how these disturbances interact to impact soil C and N dynamics. Likewise, many have not assessed season-specific responses to warming and N inputs despite seasonal variability in soil processes. We studied interactions among season, warming, and N additions on soil respiration and N mineralization at the Soil Warming 3 Nitrogen Addition Study at the Harvard Forest. Of particular interest were wintertime fluxes of C and N typically excluded from investigations of soils and global change. Soils were warmed to 58C above ambient, and N was applied at a rate of 5 g m À2 y À1 . Soil respiration and N mineralization were sampled over two years between 2007 and 2009 and showed strong seasonal patterns that mirrored changes in soil temperature.Winter fluxes of C and N contributed between 2 and 17% to the total annual flux. Net N mineralization increased in response to the experimental manipulations across all seasons, and was 8% higher in fertilized plots and 83% higher in warmed plots over the duration of the study. Soil respiration showed a more season-specific response. Nitrogen additions enhanced soil respiration by 14%, but this increase was significant only in summer and fall. Likewise, warming increased soil respiration by 44% over the whole study period, but the effect of warming was most pronounced in spring and fall. The only interaction between warming 3 N additions took place in autumn, when N availability likely diminished the positive effect of warming on soil respiration. Our results suggest that winter measurements of C and N are necessary to accurately describe winter biogeochemical processes. In addition, season-specific responses to the experimental treatments suggest that some components of the belowground community may be more susceptible to warming and N additions than others. Seasonal changes in the abiotic environment may have also interacted with the experimental manipulations to evoke biogeochemical responses at certain times of year.
Species invasions have a range of negative effects on recipient ecosystems, and many occur at a scale and magnitude that preclude complete eradication. When complete extirpation is unlikely with available management resources, an effective strategy may be to suppress invasive populations below levels predicted to cause undesirable ecological change. We illustrated this approach by developing and testing targets for the control of invasive Indo‐Pacific lionfish (Pterois volitans and P. miles) on Western Atlantic coral reefs. We first developed a size‐structured simulation model of predation by lionfish on native fish communities, which we used to predict threshold densities of lionfish beyond which native fish biomass should decline. We then tested our predictions by experimentally manipulating lionfish densities above or below reef‐specific thresholds, and monitoring the consequences for native fish populations on 24 Bahamian patch reefs over 18 months. We found that reducing lionfish below predicted threshold densities effectively protected native fish community biomass from predation‐induced declines. Reductions in density of 25–92%, depending on the reef, were required to suppress lionfish below levels predicted to overconsume prey. On reefs where lionfish were kept below threshold densities, native prey fish biomass increased by 50–70%. Gains in small (<6 cm) size classes of native fishes translated into lagged increases in larger size classes over time. The biomass of larger individuals (>15 cm total length), including ecologically important grazers and economically important fisheries species, had increased by 10–65% by the end of the experiment. Crucially, similar gains in prey fish biomass were realized on reefs subjected to partial and full removal of lionfish, but partial removals took 30% less time to implement. By contrast, the biomass of small native fishes declined by >50% on all reefs with lionfish densities exceeding reef‐specific thresholds. Large inter‐reef variation in the biomass of prey fishes at the outset of the study, which influences the threshold density of lionfish, means that we could not identify a single rule of thumb for guiding control efforts. However, our model provides a method for setting reef‐specific targets for population control using local monitoring data. Our work is the first to demonstrate that for ongoing invasions, suppressing invaders below densities that cause environmental harm can have a similar effect, in terms of protecting the native ecosystem on a local scale, to achieving complete eradication.
Geographic variability in abundance can be driven by multiple physical and biological factors operating at multiple scales. To understand the determinants of larval trematode prevalence within populations of the marine snail host Littorina littorea, we quantified many physical and biological variables at 28 New England intertidal sites. A hierarchical, mixed-effects model identified the abundance of gulls (the final hosts and dispersive agents of infective trematode stages) and snail size (a proxy for time of exposure) as the primary factors associated with trematode prevalence. The predominant influence of these variables coupled with routinely low infection rates (21 of the 28 populations exhibited prevalence <12%) suggest broad-scale recruitment limitation of trematodes. Although infection rates were spatially variable, formal analyses detected no regional spatial gradients in either trematode prevalence or independent environmental variables. Trematode prevalence appears to be predominantly determined by local site characteristics favoring high gull abundance.
Managing the remnants of the ocean's resources is a critical issue worldwide, but evidence for what constitutes a healthy fish population remains controversial. Here, we use historical sources to understand ecosystem trends and establish a biomass estimate for a key marine species prior to the industrialization of fishing. Declining trajectories have been described for predatory fishes and complex coral reef systems globally, but few numerical estimates of past abundance exist. We combined historical research methods and population modeling to estimate the biomass of cod on Canada's Scotian Shelf in 1852. Mid 19th‐century New England fishing logs offer geographically specific daily catch records, describing fleet activity on fishing grounds with negligible incentive to falsify records. Combined with ancillary fishery documents, these logs provide a solid, reliable basis for stock assessment. Based on these data we estimate a biomass for cod of 1.26 × 106 mt in 1852 – compared with less than 5 × 104 mt of total biomass today. In the current policy debate about rebuilding depleted fisheries and restoring marine ecosystems, it is important to recognize that fisheries for key commercial species like cod were far more productive in the past. As we attempt to rebuild these fisheries, our decisions should reflect real and realistic goals for management, not just recently observed catch levels.
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