In this paper we consider low-latency connection-based anonymity systems which can be used for applications like web browsing or SSH. Although several such systems have been designed and built, their anonymity has so far not been adequately evaluated.We analyse the anonymity of connection-based systems against global passive adversaries. We give a precise description of a packet-counting attack which requires a very low degree of precision from the adversary, evaluate its effectiveness against connection-based systems depending on their size, architecture and configuration, and calculate the amount of traffic necessary to provide a minimum degree of protection. We then present a second attack based on tracking connection starts which gives us another lower bound on traffic volumes required to provide at least some anonymity.
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