What is a model? What model input is considered in a sensitivity analysis? What is the role of uncertainty and sensitivity analyses in model building? Main approaches to the propagation of uncertainty within and across models. Implications for model quality.
We review briefly some examples that would support an extended role for quantitative sensitivity analysis in the context of model-based analysis (Section 1). We then review what features a quantitative sensitivity analysis needs to have to play such a role (Section 2). The methods that meet these requirements are described in Section 3; an example is provided in Section 4. Some pointers to further research are set out in Section 5.
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