BouceK ,* anaam alzuBi, † Farhan zaFar, † matthew J. o'connor, ‡ mary mehegan, § Deepa moKshagunDam , § ryan r. Davies, ¶ iKi aDachi ,∥ angela lorts , † anD DaviD n. rosenthal # We sought to develop a contemporary risk assessment tool for use in pediatric ventricular assist device (VAD) candidates to estimate risk for mortality on the device using readily available preimplantation clinical data. Training and testing datasets were created from Advanced Cardiac Therapies Improving Outcomes Network (ACTION) registry data on patients supported with a VAD from 2012 to 2021. Potential risk factors for mortality were assessed and incorporated into a simplified risk prediction model utilizing an open-source, gradientboosted decision tree machine learning library, known as random forest. Predictive performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the testing dataset. Nine significant risk factors were included in the final predictive model which demonstrated excellent discrimination with an area under the curve of 0.95. In addition to providing a framework for establishing pediatric-specific risk profiles, our model can help inform team expectations, guide optimal patient selection, and ultimately improve patient outcomes.
Background: Blood pressure (BP) management is imperative in reducing risk of adverse events in continuous flow (CF) left ventricular assist device (LVAD) patients. The gold standard for non-invasive blood pressure (BP) measurement in these patients is Doppler ultrasound, which requires training and dexterity and is not routinely used in the outpatient setting. In the current COVID-19 pandemic era, telehealth assessment has become mandatory to assess and monitor patients. At our institution, we have issued all CF-LVAD patients with a Doppler ultrasound device and an oscillometric BP monitor, and provided training to correctly use these devices. Accuracy of BP measurements in this setting has not been confirmed. Aim: We examined whether Doppler BP obtained by CF-LVAD patients (pts) correlates to Doppler BP obtained by health care workers (HCWs). Methods: CF-LVAD pts were recruited between November 2020 and January 2022. During these routine outpatient follow-up visits, Doppler BP measurements were obtained simultaneously and independently by pts and HCW. BP was taken in a comfortable seating position following 5 minutes rest. Results: A total 223 pairs of simultaneous patient Doppler BP readings and HCW Doppler BP readings were obtained from 38 CF-LVAD patients (87% male, mean age at implant 52 + 14 years, 15 HeartMate3 and 23 HeartWare HVAD, with support duration range 28 -3492 days). Patient Doppler BP (average 85.9 + 9.8 mmHg) correlated closely with HCW Doppler BP (average 86.1 + 9.6 mmHg), r2=0.90, p<0.0001. There was no significant difference between BP taken by the patient and HCW (p=0.4). The mean difference between the two methods was -0.17 mmHg and the standard deviation was 0.22 mmHg (figure) using Bland-Altman analysis. Conclusions: These results demonstrate that in our patient-population, Doppler-derived blood pressure measurements in CF-LVAD patients were accurate and reliable. This supports the routine use of home Doppler BP measurement and monitoring by CF-LVAD patients, especially in the telehealth era.
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