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We investigate the role of (business) collateral and (personal) guarantees alongside small and medium enterprise (SME), lending bank and loan characteristics, macroeconomic conditions, sectors, and geographic locations while controlling for unobserved time effects in predicting default at the peak of the financial crisis. First, we find a positive relation between collateral and default, and a negative relation between guarantees and default. Second, we find a negative relation between the joint influence of collateral and high credit score, and a positive relation between the joint influence of collateral and low credit score and default. We also find a negative relation between the joint influence of guarantees and high credit score. These findings are relevant for SME policies aimed at facilitating access to credit, reducing the cost of borrowing, and decreasing default; risk management of banks; and the application of theories of financial economics in the context of a financial crisis.
We examine whether stock market fully value intangible assets, especially R&D and Advertising expenses in a specific sample of firms: US net firms along eight years (1996 until 2003). We find that the market value-to-book increases when the return on equity is positive, but also rises as return on equity becomes more negative. We argue that the negative pricing is due the collision of large expenditures in R&D and Advertising that are subject to conservatism accounting practice. Our results are robust when compared with a sample of recent contemporaneous IPOs of US net firms. We are able to conclude that: i) investors look beyond aggregate earnings, ii) that investors value certain components of losses (R&D and Advertising expenditures) positively, iii) capital markets seem to give strong value to firms undertaking such investments, iv) and that the presence of growing R&D and Advertising expenditures, implies that the persistence of losses may have become a weaker indicator of likelihood of liquidation, v) when faced financial distressed, the mergers an acquisitions is the main strategy to exercise the growth option and maximize the value of the firm and vi) consequently analyse loss firms homogenous can lead incorrect specifications.
Purpose-The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between family influence, measured through power, experience and culture (F-PEC) and family business (FB) performance. Performance is measured from a financial and non-financial perspective. Design/methodology/approach-Empirical study using the quantitative method and data collected through a questionnaire, answered by 169 Portuguese family firms. The survey design was based on prior research of FB performance and the F-PEC questionnaire. The exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression models are used. Findings-The results indicate a negative relationship between experience and financial performance, a positive association between a culture of family commitment and performance (financial and noneconomic goals), and a positive relationship between a culture of family values and non-economic goals. The results show the importance of agreement between the firm and the family goals. Family influence on FB performance cannot be seen only from a positive (stewardship theory) or a negative (agency theory) perspective. Originality/value-Commitment increases financial performance and the achievement of non-economic goals (perpetuity and family assets). It is important to study how a culture of commitment leads to superior performance.
Resumo:O objectivo deste trabalho de investigação consiste em analisar se o crédito comercial obtido junto dos fornecedores e o endividamento bancário são considerados duas fontes de financiamento substitutas e/ou complementares. Usando uma amostra em dados painel de 468 e 7019 pequenas e médias empresas (PME) Portuguesas e Espanholas respectivamente, e recorrendo ao método de estimação GMM, para controlar potenciais problemas de endogeneidade, os resultados confirmam a hipótese de substituição, isto é, as empresas recorrem ao crédito junto dos fornecedores quando vêm restringido o seu acesso ao financiamento junto dos bancos. Este racionamento no acesso ao crédito bancário é particularmente relevante para as empresas que mantêm uma relação de monopólio (negoceiam com apenas um banco), o que indicia maiores problemas de selecção adversa e risco moral para estas empresas. Todavia, apesar de a hipótese de substituição ser confirmada, a evidência empírica aponta para o facto de que as hipóteses de substituição e complementaridade não serem mutuamente exclusivas, em particular para um grupo específico de empresas: as empresas mais jovens e mais pequenas. Em consonância com as teorias que enfatizam o conteúdo informativo veiculado pelo crédito comercial (qualidade da gestão, nível de risco do cliente), os resultados obtidos confirmam que o recurso ao crédito concedido pelos fornecedores ajuda as empresas mais jovens e mais pequenas a consolidarem a sua reputação no mercado de crédito. O montante de crédito comercial obtido pode ser visto como um sinal que veicula a informação privada detida pelo fornecedor aos bancos a baixo custo. Neste contexto, os bancos mostram-se mais predispostos a conceder crédito. Abstract:This paper examines if trade credit could be considered as a substitute and/or a complement to bank credit in order to assess the existence of credit rationing. Using a panel dataset of 468 and 7019 Portuguese and Spanish small medium size enterprises, in the period 1998-2006, and controlling for endogeneity problems by using GMM estimators, the results confirm the existence of credit rationing, since the substitution hypothesis is confirmed. This effect is particularly strong for firms that maintaining an exclusive relationship with one bank, which indicate a greater severity of adverse selection problems for those firms. Although the substitution hypothesis is confirmed, the results seem indicate that the substitution and complementary hypothesis are not mutually exclusive, especially for a specific group of firms: the younger and smaller firms. In line with the theories that emphasize the informational role of trade credit, due the informative advantage of suppliers, our empirical results confirm that trade credit allow the younger and smaller firms to improve their reputation, as trade credit reveals the private information of the supplier to the bank, in turn, banks can update their beliefs about customer default risk and agree to increase bank credit. JEL Classifications: G21, G24, G32
Purpose -The purpose of this paper is to develop a credit-scoring model as an aggregate valuation procedure that integrates various financial and non-financial factors and thereby improves small to medium-sized enterprises' (SMEs) knowledge about their default risk. Design/methodology/approach -Using panel data from a representative sample of Portuguese SMEs operating in the food or beverage manufacturing sector, this paper develops a logit scoring model to estimate one-year predictions of default. Findings -The probability of non-default in the next year is an increasing function of profitability, liquidity, coverage, and activity and a decreasing function of leverage. Smaller firms and those with just one bank relationship have a higher probability of default. The findings suggest that a main bank has incentives to engage in hold up by increasing margins that ex post are too high. Practical implications -Because SMEs differ from large corporations in their credit risk (e.g., riskier, lower asset correlations), this study has implications for both banks and supervisory actors. Banks should consider qualitative variables when setting internal systems and procedures to manage credit risk. Supervisory institutions should claim mixed credit ratings to determine regulatory capital requirements. Originality/value -This paper offers a new model, focused specifically on SMEs, and explores the role of financial and non-financial factors in determining internal credit risks.
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