No abstract

Background: Drug-related problems (DRPs) are a frequent reason for emergency departments (EDs) visits. However, data about the risk factors associated with EDs revisits are limited. Objective: To develop and validate a predictive model indicating the risk factors associated with EDs revisit within 30 days of the first visit. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted involving patients who attended an ED for DRPs related to cardiovascular drugs. A 30-day prediction model was created in a derivation cohort by logistic regression. An integer score proportional to the regression coefficient was assigned to the variables with P < .100 in the multivariate analysis. Results: 581 patients (mean age: 80.0 [12.6] years) were included, 133 (22.9%) revisited the ED within 30 days from discharge. Six factors (chronic kidney disease, chronic heart failure, visit to an ED in the preceding 3 months, high anticholinergic burden, DRPs associated with heparin, and safety-related DRPs) were identified as risk factors and combined into a final score, termed the DREAMER score. The model reached an area under the receiver operating curve values of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67-0.77) in the referral cohort and 0.71 (95% CI = 0.65-0.74) in the validation cohort ( P = .273). Three risk categories were generated, with the following scores and estimated risks: low risk (0-8 points): 11.6%; intermediate risk (9-14 points): 21.3%; and high risk (>14 points): 41.2%. Conclusion and Relevance: The DREAMER score identifies patients at high risk for ED revisit within 30 days from the first visit for a DRPs, being a useful tool to prioritize interventions on discharge.

Different scales have been validated to assess the medication regimen complexity. However, the effect of this complexity on the risk of health care center consultations in patients with drug-related problems is unknown. This study’s objective is to evaluate the association between the Medication Regimen Complexity Index (MCRI) and the number of drugs prescribed and new consultations to the health care system in patients who visit an emergency service due to drug-related problems. This is a retrospective observational study. We included patients >65 years who attended in an emergency service for drug-related problems. To identify variables associated with health care center reconsultation, a multivariate analysis was performed, including demographic and comorbidity variables, number of drugs prescribed, and MCRI value. Two hundred and one patients were included. A significant association was found between the prescription of more than five drugs (odds ratio [OR] = 2.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [1.08, 5.79]), an MCRI > 20 (2.98 [1.46–6.09]), and an increase in the number of drugs prescribed (2.87 [1.57–5.21]) and its MCRI (2.06 [1.13–3.77]) at discharge and a new visit to the emergency department. An association was found between the prescription of more than five drugs, an MCRI > 20, an increase in the number of drugs, and in MCRI value at discharge and a new visit to any other health care center. The number of prescribed drugs and the medication complexity of patients who visit the emergency department for drug-related problems was associated with an increase in the number of revisits to the emergency department and to other health care centers.

No abstract