Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) has taken the interest of cybersecurity practitioners due to its completeness and timeliness. In particular, Twitter has proven to be a discussion hub regarding the latest vulnerabilities and exploits. In this paper, we present a study comparing vulnerability databases between themselves and against Twitter. Although there is evidence of OSINT advantages, no methodological studies have addressed the quality and benefits of the sources available. We compare the publishing dates of more than nine-thousand vulnerabilities in the sources considered. We show that NVD is not the most timely or the most complete vulnerability database, that Twitter provides timely and impactful security alerts, that using diverse OSINT sources provides better completeness and timeliness of vulnerabilities, and provide insights on how to capture cybersecurity-relevant tweets.
Organizations face the issue of how to best allocate their security resources. Thus, they need an accurate method for assessing how many new vulnerabilities will be reported for the operating systems (OSs) and web browsers they use in a given time period. Our approach consists of clustering vulnerabilities by leveraging the text information within vulnerability records, and then simulating the mean value function of vulnerabilities by relaxing the monotonic intensity function assumption, which is prevalent among the studies that use software reliability models (SRMs) and nonhomogeneous Poisson process in modeling. We applied our approach to the vulnerabilities of four OSs (Windows, Mac, IOS, and Linux) and four web browsers (Internet Explorer, Safari, Firefox, and Chrome). Out of the total eight OSs and web browsers we analyzed using a power-law model issued from a family of SRMs, the model was statistically adequate for modeling in six cases. For these cases, in terms of estimation and forecasting capability, our results, compared to a power-law model without clustering, are more accurate in all cases but one.
Abstract-We present vepRisk (Vulnerabilities, Exploits and Patches Risk analysis tool): a web-based tool for analyzing publically available security data. The tool has a backend modules that mine, extract, parse and store data from public repositories of vulnerabilities, exploits and patches; and a frontend web-based application that provides functionality for analyzing the data. The frontend uses shinyR, hence allowing integration with the R statistical analysis package and seamless use of R functions. We also present initial analysis we have done with the tool, and outline the extensions and future development we plan to integrate into the tool in the near future.
Abstract-Organizations face the issue of how to best allocate their security resources. Thus, they need an accurate method for assessing how many new vulnerabilities will be reported for the operating systems (OSs) they use in a given time period. Our approach consists of clustering vulnerabilities by leveraging the text information within vulnerability records, and then simulating the mean value function of vulnerabilities by relaxing the monotonic intensity function assumption, which is prevalent among the studies that use software reliability models (SRMs) and nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) in modeling. We applied our approach to the vulnerabilities of four OSs: Windows, Mac, IOS, and Linux. For the OSs analyzed in terms of curve fitting and prediction capability, our results, compared to a power-law model without clustering issued from a family of SRMs, are more accurate in all cases we analyzed.
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