In this paper; survival (non-ruin) probability after a definite time period of an insurance company is studied in a discrete time model based on nonhomogenous claim occurrences. Furthermore, distributions of the minimum and maximum levels of surplus in compound binomial risk model with nonhomogeneous claim occurrences are obtained and some of its characteristics are given.
SURVIVAL PROBABILITIES FOR COMPOUND BINOMIAL RISK MODEL WITH DISCRETE PHASE-TYPE CLAIMS
ALTAN TUNCELAbstract. Due to having useful properties in approximating to the other distributions and mathematically tractable, phase type distributions are commonly used in actuarial risk theory. Claim occurrence time and individual claim size distributions are modelled by phase type distributions in literature. This paper aims to calculate the survival probabilities of an insurance company under the assumption that compound binomial risk model where the individual claim sizes are distributed as discrete Phase Type distribution.
In this paper, reliability properties of a system that is subject to a sequence of shocks are investigated under a particular new change point model. According to the model, a change in the distribution of the shock magnitudes occurs upon the occurrence of a shock that is above a certain critical level. The system fails when the time between successive shocks is less than a given threshold, or the magnitude of a single shock is above a critical threshold. The survival function of the system is studied under both cases when the times between shocks follow discrete distribution and when the times between shocks follow continuous distribution. Matrix-based expressions are obtained for matrix-geometric discrete intershock times and for matrix-exponential continuous intershock times, as well.
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