Background and aims
In a little over six months, the Corona virus epidemic has affected over ten million and killed over half a million people worldwide as on June 30, 2020. With no vaccine in sight, the spread of the virus is likely to continue unabated. This article aims to analyze the time series data for top five countries affected by the COVID-19 for forecasting the spread of the epidemic.
Material and methods
Daily time series data from 15th February to June 30, 2020 of total infected cases from the top five countries namely US, Brazil, India, Russia and Spain were collected from the online database. ARIMA model specifications were estimated using Hannan and Rissanen algorithm. Out of sample forecast for the next 77 days was computed using the ARIMA models.
Results
Forecast for the first 18 days of July was compared with the actual data and the forecast accuracy was using MAD and MAPE were found within acceptable agreement. The graphic plots of forecast data suggest that While Russia and Spain have reached the inflexion point in the spread of epidemic, the US, Brazil and India are still experiencing an exponential curve.
Conclusion
Our analysis shows that India and Brazil will hit 1.38 million and 2.47 million mark while the US will reach the 4.29 million mark by 31st July. With no effective cure available at the moment, this forecast will help the governments to be better prepared to combat the epidemic by ramping up their healthcare facilities.
The objective of this study is to know the perception of varied experienced project management professionals of India to measurement-based and valuation-based methods for inclusion in the imaginary environment management knowledge area of PMBOK. Results attained through SPSS using chi-square test of association conclude that there is a significant relationship between experience and choosing the right method. The current study suggests that lifecycle analysis and ecosystem service valuation should be included in the environment management knowledge area of PMBOK.
Introduction: Corporate social responsibility (CSR) has gained momentum for its ability to predict firm performance and achieve long-term growth. However, to cope up with rapidly developing global economic situation, significant changes in internal CSR implementation and management along with employee collaboration is required. Background: For being more productive and goal-oriented internal CSR practices, organizations should include employees. It will improve people’s impulse and invoke a responsible response for knowledge sharing for the innovative performance of the firm.Purpose: The current study aims at outlining the intervening role of employee collaboration for enhancing the interaction between CSR and innovative performance of the firms. Findings: Affective commitment and knowledge sharing are two variables that are directly proportional to each other. Training and development are directly contributing to the innovative performance of firms and for that affective commitment and knowledge sharing must be done.
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