The market penetration of Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs) is escalating due to their energy saving and environmental benefits. In order to address PEVs impact on the electric networks, the aggregators need to accurately predict the PEV Travel Behavior (PEV-TB) since the addition of a great number of PEVs to the current distribution network poses serious challenges to the power system. Forecasting PEV-TB is critical because of the high degree of uncertainties in drivers' behavior. Existing studies mostly simplified the PEV-TB by mapping travel behavior from conventional vehicles. This could cause bias in power estimation considering the differences in PEV-TB because of charging pattern which consequently could bungle economic analysis of aggregators. In this study, to forecast PEV-TB an artificial intelligence-based method -feedforward and recurrent Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) with Levenberg Marquardt (LM) training method based on Rough structure -is developed. The method is based on historical data including arrival time, departure time and trip length. In this study, the correlation among arrival time, departure time and trip length is also considered. The forecasted PEV-TB is then compared with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) which is the main benchmarking method in this field. The results comparison
Plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) load modeling is very important in the operation and planning studies of modern power system nowadays. Several parameters and considerations should be taken into account in PEV load modeling, making it a complex problem that should be solved using appropriate techniques. Different techniques have been introduced for PEV load modeling and each of them has individual specifications and features. In this paper, the most popular techniques for PEV load modeling are reviewed and their capabilities are evaluated. Both deterministic and probabilistic methods are investigated and some practical and theoretical hints are presented. Moreover, the characteristics of all techniques are compared with each other and suitable methods for unique applications are proposed. Finally, some potential research areas are presented for future works. Index Terms--Plug-in electric vehicles, load modeling, deterministic and probabilistic techniques, distribution networks.
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