Efron's biased coin design is a well-known randomization technique that helps to neutralize selection bias in sequential clinical trials for comparing treatments, while keeping the experiment fairly balanced. Extensions of the biased coin design have been proposed by several researchers who have focused mainly on the large sample properties of their designs. We modify Efron's procedure by introducing an adjustable biased coin design, which is more flexible than his. We compare it with other existing coin designs; in terms of balance and lack of predictability, its performance for small samples appears in many cases to be an improvement with respect to the other sequential randomized allocation procedures. Copyright 2004 Royal Statistical Society.
This paper presents a brief overview of the recent literature on adaptive design of clinical trials from a Bayesian perspective for statistically not so sophisticated readers. Adaptive designs are attracting a keen interest in several disciplines, from a theoretical viewpoint and also—potentially—from a practical one, and Bayesian adaptive designs, in particular, have raised high expectations in clinical trials. The main conceptual tools are highlighted here, with a mention of several trial designs proposed in the literature that use these methods, including some of the registered Bayesian adaptive trials to this date. This review aims at complementing the existing ones on this topic, pointing at further interesting reading material.
The existing procedures for robust design, devised for physical experiments, may be too limiting when the system can be simulated by a computer model. In this paper we introduce a modification of the dual response surface modelling, which incorporates the option of stochastically simulating some of the noise factors when their probabilistic behaviour is known. Our method generalizes both the crossed and the combined array approaches and finds a natural application to integrated parameter and tolerance design. The method appears suitable for designing complex measurement systems and in this paper is applied to the design of a high-precision optical profilometer.
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