AKI is associated with increased risk of death, prolonged length of stay and development of de-novo chronic kidney disease. The aim of our study is the development and validation of prediction models to identify the risk of AKI in ICU patients up to 7 days. We retrospectively recruited 692 consecutive patients admitted to the ICU at San Bortolo Hospital (Vicenza, Italy) from 1 June 2016 to 31 March 2017: 455 patients were treated as the derivation group and 237 as the validation group. Candidate variables were selected based on a literature review and expert opinion. Admission eGFR< 90 ml/min /1.73 mq (OR 2.78; 95% CI 1.78–4.35; p<0.001); SOFAcv ≥ 2 (OR 2.23; 95% CI 1.48–3.37; p<0.001); lactate ≥ 2 mmol/L (OR 1.81; 95% CI 1.19–2.74; p = 0.005) and (TIMP-2)•(IGFBP7) ≥ 0.3 (OR 1.65; 95% CI 1.08–2.52; p = 0.019) were significantly associated with AKI. For the q-AKI score, we stratified patients into different AKI Risk score levels: 0–2; 3–4; 5–6; 7–8 and 9–10. In both cohorts, we observed that the proportion of AKI patients was higher in the higher score levels.
The urinary tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2 and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 ([TIMP-2]∙[IGFBP7]) have been introduced to improve risk prediction of severe acute kidney injury (AKI) within 12 hours of measurement. We performed a prospective cohort study to evaluate if the predictive value of [TIMP-2]∙[IGFBP7] for AKI might continue after 12 hours. We enrolled 442 critically ill adult patients from June to December 2016. Urine samples were collected at admission for [TIMP-2]∙[IGFBP7] measurement. Baseline patient characteristics were recorded including patients’ demographics, prior health history, and the main reason for admission to build a logistic regression model to predict AKI. AKI occurrence differed between patients with [TIMP-2]∙[IGFBP7] ≤0.3 and >0.3 (ng/ml)2/1000 (31.9% and 68.10% respectively; p < 0.001). Patients with AKI had higher biomarker values compared to those without AKI (0.66 (0.21–2.84) vs 0.22 (0.08–0.63) (ng/ml)2/1000; p < 0.001). [TIMP-2]∙[IGFBP7] at ICU admission had a lower performance in predicting AKI at any stage within 48 hours and 7 days after measurement (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) equal to 0.70 (95%CI 0.65–0.76), AUC 0.68 (95%CI 0.63–0.73)). In the logistic regression model, 0.1 (ng/ml)2/1000-unit increment was likely to increase the risk of AKI by 2% (p = 0.002).
Conservation of water in chronic HD should be considered an important responsibility of healthcare practitioners all over the world. We present a wider usage of dialysate flow rates, considering that it would lead to significant water conservation without much compromise on dialysis efficacy in small patients. We believe that further investigation into the utility of reduced dialysate flux in different populations is needed to broaden our understanding of how we can use these techniques in order to significantly reduce water consumption during chronic HD while still ensuring optimum efficacy and efficiency of the therapy.
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