Novel genomics-based approaches such as genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and genomic selection (GS) are expected to be useful in fruit tree breeding, which requires much time from the cross to the release of a cultivar because of the long generation time. In this study, a citrus parental population (111 varieties) and a breeding population (676 individuals from 35 full-sib families) were genotyped for 1,841 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and phenotyped for 17 fruit quality traits. GWAS power and prediction accuracy were increased by combining the parental and breeding populations. A multi-kernel model considering both additive and dominance effects improved prediction accuracy for acidity and juiciness, implying that the effects of both types are important for these traits. Genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) with linear ridge kernel regression (RR) was more robust and accurate than GBLUP with non-linear Gaussian kernel regression (GAUSS) in the tails of the phenotypic distribution. The results of this study suggest that both GWAS and GS are effective for genetic improvement of citrus fruit traits. Furthermore, the data collected from breeding populations are beneficial for increasing the detection power of GWAS and the prediction accuracy of GS.

It is suggested that accuracy in predicting plant phenotypes can be improved by integrating genomic prediction with crop modelling in a single hierarchical model. Accurate prediction of phenotypes is important for plant breeding and management. Although genomic prediction/selection aims to predict phenotypes on the basis of whole-genome marker information, it is often difficult to predict phenotypes of complex traits in diverse environments, because plant phenotypes are often influenced by genotype-environment interaction. A possible remedy is to integrate genomic prediction with crop/ecophysiological modelling, which enables us to predict plant phenotypes using environmental and management information. To this end, in the present study, we developed a novel method for integrating genomic prediction with phenological modelling of Asian rice (Oryza sativa, L.), allowing the heading date of untested genotypes in untested environments to be predicted. The method simultaneously infers the phenological model parameters and whole-genome marker effects on the parameters in a Bayesian framework. By cultivating backcross inbred lines of Koshihikari × Kasalath in nine environments, we evaluated the potential of the proposed method in comparison with conventional genomic prediction, phenological modelling, and two-step methods that applied genomic prediction to phenological model parameters inferred from Nelder-Mead or Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. In predicting heading dates of untested lines in untested environments, the proposed and two-step methods tended to provide more accurate predictions than the conventional genomic prediction methods, particularly in environments where phenotypes from environments similar to the target environment were unavailable for training genomic prediction. The proposed method showed greater accuracy in prediction than the two-step methods in all cross-validation schemes tested, suggesting the potential of the integrated approach in the prediction of phenotypes of plants.

Breeding of fruit trees is hindered by their large size and long juvenile period. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) and genomic selection (GS) are promising methods for circumventing this hindrance, but preparing new large datasets for these methods may not always be practical. Here, we evaluated the potential of breeding populations evaluated routinely in breeding programs for GWAS and GS. We used a pear parental population of 86 varieties and breeding populations of 765 trees from 16 full-sib families, which were phenotyped for 18 traits and genotyped for 1,506 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The power of GWAS and accuracy of genomic prediction were improved when we combined data from the breeding populations and the parental population. The accuracy of genomic prediction was improved further when full-sib data of the target family were available. The results suggest that phenotype data collected in breeding programs can be beneficial for GWAS and GS when they are combined with genome-wide marker data. The potential of GWAS and GS will be further extended if we can build a system for routine collection of the phenotype and marker genotype data for breeding populations.

Efficient plant breeding methods must be developed in order to increase yields and feed a growing world population, as well as to meet the demands of consumers with diverse preferences who require high-quality foods. We propose a strategy that integrates breeding simulations and phenotype prediction models using genomic information. The validity of this strategy was evaluated by the simultaneous genetic improvement of the yield and flavour of the tomato (Solanum lycopersicum), as an example. Reliable phenotype prediction models for the simulation were constructed from actual genotype and phenotype data. Our simulation predicted that selection for both yield and flavour would eventually result in morphological changes that would increase the total plant biomass and decrease the light extinction coefficient, an essential requirement for these improvements. This simulation-based genome-assisted approach to breeding will help to optimise plant breeding, not only in the tomato but also in other important agricultural crops.

The phenotypic variation of living organisms is shaped by genetics, environment, and their interaction. Understanding phenotypic plasticity under natural conditions is hindered by the apparently complex environment and the interacting genes and pathways. Herein, we report findings from the dissection of rice flowering-time plasticity in a genetic mapping population grown in natural long-day field environments. Genetic loci harboring four genes originally discovered for their photoperiodic effects (Hd1, Hd2, Hd5, and Hd6) were found to differentially respond to temperature at the early growth stage to jointly determine flowering time. The effects of these plasticity genes were revealed with multiple reaction norms along the temperature gradient. By coupling genomic selection and the environmental index, accurate performance predictions were obtained. Next, we examined the allelic variation in the four flowering-time genes across the diverse accessions from the 3000 Rice Genomes Project and constructed haplotypes at both individual-gene and multigene levels. The geographic distribution of haplotypes revealed their preferential adaptation to different temperature zones. Regions with lower temperatures were dominated by haplotypes sensitive to temperature changes, whereas the equatorial region had a majority of haplotypes that are less responsive to temperature. By integrating knowledge from genomics, gene cloning and functional characterization, and environment quantification, we propose a conceptual model with multiple levels of reaction norms to help bridge the gaps among individual gene discovery, field-level phenotypic plasticity, and genomic diversity and adaptation.