Este artigo utiliza o modelo de equilíbrio geral Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), objetivando avaliar os efeitos que um possível acordo de livre comércio entre a União Européia (UE) e os países da América Latina e Caribe teria sobre a agricultura brasileira e européia. São examinadas as alterações nos principais indicadores da economia brasileira, por meio da base global de dados do GTAP. Quatro cenários são examinados quanto à eliminação dos subsídios à produção agrícola e quanto à imposição de uma tarifa externa comum (TEC) e a eliminação dos subsídios à exportação em todos os cenários. Os resultados indicam, para o Brasil, crescimento econômico de 3,9% a 6,3% para os diferentes cenários, e, para a UE, de 0,3% a 1,8%. Os benefícios da liberalização seriam concentrados nos setores de maior vantagem comparativa, agronegócio para o Brasil e manufaturados para a EU, com a criação de comércio.
The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), a general equilibrium model, is applied to evaluate the effects that a hypothetical free trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and Latin America and the Caribbean would have on the economies of Brazil and the EU. Four scenarios are simulated taking different values for agricultural production subsidies and the common external tariff (CET). All scenarios impose the elimination of exports subsidies. The results indicate that a free trade agreement of the type envisioned by this paper would increase Brazilian economic growth, varying from 3.9% and 6.3%, and EU economic growth, between 0.3% and 1.8%. The benefits of trade liberalization would be concentrated in the economic sectors with the greatest comparative advantage - Brazilian agribusiness and EU manufactures - with trade creation
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.