In this large ECG study, a J-shaped association was found between QTc interval duration and risk of AF. This association was strongest with respect to the development of lone AF.
AimsUsing a large, contemporary primary care population we aimed to provide absolute long-term risks of cardiovascular death (CVD) based on the QTc interval and to test whether the QTc interval is of value in risk prediction of CVD on an individual level.Methods and resultsDigital electrocardiograms from 173 529 primary care patients aged 50–90 years were collected during 2001–11. The Framingham formula was used for heart rate-correction of the QT interval. Data on medication, comorbidity, and outcomes were retrieved from administrative registries. During a median follow-up period of 6.1 years, 6647 persons died from cardiovascular causes. Long-term risks of CVD were estimated for subgroups defined by age, gender, cardiovascular disease, and QTc interval categories. In general, we observed an increased risk of CVD for both very short and long QTc intervals. Prolongation of the QTc interval resulted in the worst prognosis for men whereas in women, a very short QTc interval was equivalent in risk to a borderline prolonged QTc interval. The effect of the QTc interval on the absolute risk of CVD was most pronounced in the elderly and in those with cardiovascular disease whereas the effect was negligible for middle-aged women without cardiovascular disease. The most important improvement in prediction accuracy was noted for women aged 70–90 years. In this subgroup, a total of 9.5% were reclassified (7.2% more accurately vs. 2.3% more inaccurately) within clinically relevant 5-year risk groups when the QTc interval was added to a conventional risk model for CVD.ConclusionImportant differences were observed across subgroups when the absolute long-term risk of CVD was estimated based on QTc interval duration. The accuracy of the personalized CVD prognosis can be improved when the QTc interval is introduced to a conventional risk model for CVD.
Patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes (NIDDM) are at independent risk of cardiovascular death. The reason is only partially understood. The aim of our study was therefore to evaluate the impact of corrected QT interval length (QTc) and QT dispersion (QT-disp) on mortality in a cohort of 324 Caucasian NIDDM patients. A resting 12-lead ECG was recorded at baseline. Maximum (QT-max) and minimum QT (QT-min) intervals were measured, and QT-max was corrected for heart rate (QTc-max). QT-disp was defined as the difference between QT-max and QT-min. QTc-max was 454 (376-671) ms(1/2) (median (range)) and QT-disp 61 (0-240) ms. Prolonged QTc interval (PQTc), defined as QTc-max > 440 ms(1/2), was present in 67% of the patients and prolonged QT-disp (PQT-disp), defined as QT-disp > 50 ms, was present in 51%. During the 9-year follow-up period, 100 patients died (52 from cardiovascular diseases). Thirty-seven percent of the patients with PQTc died compared with 17% with normal QTc interval (p<0.001). The Cox proportional hazard model, including putative risk factors at baseline, revealed the following independent predictors of all cause mortality; QTc-max (p<0.05), age (p<0.0001), albuminuria (p<0.01), retinopathy (p<0.01), HbA1c (p<0.05), insulin treatment (p<0.01), total cholesterol (p<0.01), serum creatinine (p<0.05) and presence of cardiac heart disease based on Minnesota coded ECG (p<0.001). Whereas QT-disp was not a predictor, QTc-max interval was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality. Our study showed a high prevalence of QTc and QT-disp abnormalities and indicated that QTc-max but not QT-disp is an independent predictor of all cause and cardiovascular mortality in NIDDM patients.
Background-It is important to increase lesion size to improve the success rate for radiofrequency ablation of ischemic ventricular tachycardia. This study of radiofrequency ablation, with adjustment of power to approach a preset target temperature, ie, temperature-controlled ablation, explores the effect of catheter-tip length, ablation site, and convective cooling on lesion dimensions. Methods and Results-In vitro strips of porcine left ventricular myocardium during different levels of convective cooling and in vivo pig hearts at 2 or 3 left ventricular sites were ablated with 2-to 12-mm-tip catheters. We found increased lesion volume for increased catheter-tip length Յ8 mm in vitro (PϽ0.05) and 6 mm in vivo (PϽ0.0001), but no further increase was found for longer tips. For the 4-to 10-mm catheter tips, we found smaller lesion volume in low-flow areas (apex) than in high-flow areas (free wall and septum) (PϽ0.05). Increasing convective cooling of the catheter tip in vitro increased lesion volume (PϽ0.0005) for the 4-and 8-mm tips but not for the 12-mm tip as the generator reached maximum output. In contrast to power-controlled ablation, we found a negative correlation between tip temperature reached and lesion volume for applications in which maximum generator output was not achieved (PϽ0.0001), whereas delivered power and lesion volume correlated positively (PϽ0.0001). Conclusions-Lesion size differs in different left ventricular target sites, which is probably related to convective cooling, as illustrated in vitro. Longer electrode tips increase lesion size for tip lengths Յ6 to 8 mm. For temperature-controlled ablation, the tip temperature achieved is a poor predictor of lesion size. (Circulation. 1999;99:319-325.)
This prospective study was carried out to develop a model for the prediction of cardiac risk in non-cardiac surgery. Detailed data were collected concerning the preoperative status of 2609 consecutive patients, who were followed closely during the postoperative course. Fatal or life-threatening cardiac complications occurred in 68 patients (2.6%). By utilizing logistic regression, a model for prediction of cardiac risk was developed. The model contained six significant preoperative predictor variables: Congestive heart failure (with 3 degrees of severity); ischaemic heart disease (with 2 degrees of severity); diabetes mellitus; serum creatinine above 0.13 mmol l-1; emergency operation; and the type of operation (two categories). With this model it seems possible to discriminate between patients with very different levels of cardiac risk.
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