The return times of large Himalayan earthquakes are poorly constrained. Despite historical devastation of cities along the mountain range, definitive links between events and specific segments of the Main Frontal Thrust (MFT) are not established, and paleoseismological records have not documented the occurrence of several similar events at the same location. In east central Nepal, however, recently discovered primary surface ruptures of that megathrust in the A.D. 1255 and 1934 earthquakes are associated with flights of tectonically uplifted terraces. We present here a refined, longer slip history of the MFT's two overlapping strands (Patu and Bardibas Thrusts) in that region, based on updated geomorphic/neotectonic mapping of active faulting, two 1.3 km long shallow seismic profiles, and logging of two river-cut cliffs, three paleoseismological trenches, and several pits, with constraints from 74 detrital charcoals and 14 cosmogenic nuclide ages. The amount of hanging wall uplift on the Patu thrust since 3650 ± 450 years requires three more events than the two aforementioned. The uplift rate (8.5 ± 1.5 mm/yr), thrust dip (25°± 5°N), and apparent characteristic behavior imply 12-17.5 m of slip per event. On the Bardibas thrust, discrete pulses of colluvial deposition resulting from the coseismic growth of a flexural fold scarp suggest the occurrence of six or seven paleo-earthquakes in the last 4500 ± 50 years. The coeval rupture of both strands during great Himalayan earthquakes implies that in eastern Nepal, the late Holocene return times of such earthquakes probably ranged between 750 ± 140 and 870 ± 350 years.
Surface-wave dispersion inversion is growing in popularity for geotechnical applications, due to its noninvasive character, relative straightforward field procedures and interpretation, especially when the subsurface structure is locally assumed to be one-dimensional (1D). Here, laser-Doppler physical modeling of surface-wave propagation is used to address issues of surface-wave depth penetration, the presence of dipping layers, and the associated limitations and systematic errors propagated in conventional 1D surface-wave inversion. Flat-layered models show that, with an active source and linear spread, the maximum resolvable wavelength of the Rayleigh-wave fundamental mode is on the order of 40% of the spread length. Linearised inversions confirm the rule of thumb that the depth penetration is 20–25% of the spread length, and that correct a priori layer interface depths from refraction analysis allow more accurate results. However, even under optimal conditions, failing to account for a dominant higher mode at low frequency when a stiff shallow layer is present, causes an overestimate of deeper layer shear-wave velocity. Moreover, a layer dip of only a few degrees can significantly bias the surface-wave inversion. If the incorrect a priori information from a single-shot refraction analysis is incorporated in the inverse problem, estimated interface depth depends on the shot position and deeper layer shear-wave velocity is underestimated. Even if correct a priori constraints are used, an underestimate of half-space shear-wave velocity of up to 25% remains.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.