BackgroundRoutine malaria surveillance data is useful for assessing incidence and trends over time, and in stratification for targeting of malaria control. The reporting completeness and potential bias of such data needs assessment.MethodsData on 17 malaria indicators were extracted from the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response System database for July 2004 to June 2009 (Ethiopian calendar reporting years 1997 to 2001). Reporting units were standardized over time with 2007 census populations. The data were analysed to show reporting completeness, variation in risk by reporting unit, and incidence trends for malaria indicators.ResultsReporting completeness, estimated as product of unit-month and health facility reporting, was over 80% until 2009, when it fell to 56% during a period of reorganization in the Ministry of Health. Nationally the average estimated annual incidence of reported total malaria for the calendar years 2005 to 2008 was 23.4 per 1000 persons, and of confirmed malaria was 7.6 per 1,000, with no clear decline in out-patient cases over the time period. Reported malaria in-patient admissions and deaths (averaging 6.4 per 10,000 and 2.3 per 100,000 per year respectively) declined threefold between 2005 and 2009, as did admissions and deaths reported as malaria with severe anaemia. Only 8 of 86 reporting units had average annual estimated incidence of confirmed malaria above 20 per 1,000 persons, while 26 units were consistently below five reported cases per 1,000 persons per year.ConclusionThe Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response System functioned well over the time period mid 2004 to the end of 2008. The data suggest that the scale up of interventions has had considerable impact on malaria in-patient cases and mortality, as reported from health centres and hospitals. These trends must be regarded as relative (over space and time) rather than absolute. The data can be used to stratify areas for improved targeting of control efforts to steadily reduce incidence. They also provide a baseline of incidence estimates against which to gauge future progress towards elimination. Inclusion of climate information over this time period and extension of the dataset to more years is needed to clarify the impact of control measures compared to natural cycles on malaria.
Purpose Ethiopia is located within the esophageal belt of Africa. Esophageal cancer is the seventh leading cause of death in Ethiopia. There is a paucity of literature regarding the clinical features, treatment patterns, and survival of patients with esophageal cancer. We report the clinical profile, treatment pattern, and survival of patients with esophageal cancer at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia. Methods An unmatched prospective cohort study was conducted from February 27, 2018 to February 28, 2020. We used the Kaplan–Meier method to assess the overall survival time and survival time according to stage and treatment type. Multivariate Cox regression analysis with the backward LR selection method was used to fit the final model. Result In total, 230 patients with esophageal cancer were recruited for this study. The median survival time was six months (95%CI) (5, 7). A total of 170 (73.9%) patients died during the 1,244 person-month follow-up period, resulting in an overall event rate of 162 per 1,000 person–months. The overall survival rate was very low with 6 months, 1-, and 2-year survival rates of 54.6% (95%CI:47.5%-61.2%), 19.5% (13.8% -25.9%), and 2.0% (0.45%–5.9%), respectively. Chemotherapy, local recurrence, and brain metastases were variables that explained the model. Conclusion survival of patients with esophageal cancer at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital was very short. We recommend multimodal treatment to improve treatment outcomes.
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