There are many pressures on the global food system such as urbanization, climate change, and environmental degradation. Urban agriculture is an approach to producing food inside cities where, globally, more than half the worlds population live. It has been shown to have a range of potential benefits, for instance in reducing waste and logistics costs. Increased uptake of urban farming can even relieve pressure on the natural environment by reducing the burden of production required from farmland by creating space for it to recover from accumulated damage as a result of the use of unsustainable farming practices historically. This article describes an approach for a new type of decision support system suitable for urban farming production. We discuss differences between the requirements and the users of decision support in urban agriculture, and those of ordinary agribusiness enterprises. A case study is performed using a novel technology for urban farming: a cyber-physical implementation of aquaponics is enhanced with adaptive capabilities using a digital twin system and machine learning. Aquaponics is a farming technique that utilizes a harmonious nutrient exchange cycle for growing plants and fish together, while conserving water, and possibly without the need for soil or even sunlight. Empirical results are provided that evaluate the use of data driven decision analytics and a digital twin model to plan production from the aquaponic system during a three month trial. Another set of results evaluate a proposed modelling framework for large scale urban agriculture ecosystems. This concept forms the basis of the suggested approach for an urban farming decision support system that coordinates the activities of many independent producers to target collective goals.INDEX TERMS Decision support, urban agriculture, modelling, simulation, digital twin, Internet of Things, metaheuristics.
This paper describes an adaptive computational intelligence system for learning trading rules. The trading rules are represented using a fuzzy logic rule base, and using an artificial evolutionary process the system learns to form rules that can perform well in dynamic market conditions. A comprehensive analysis of the results of applying the system for portfolio construction using portfolio evaluation tools widely accepted by both the financial industry and academia is provided.
This paper describes an adaptive computational intelligence system for learning trading rules. The trading rules are represented using a fuzzy logic rule base, and using an artificial evolutionary process the system learns to form rules that can perform well in dynamic market conditions. A comprehensive analysis of the results of applying the system for portfolio construction using portfolio evaluation tools widely accepted by both the financial industry and academia is provided.
This paper examines the advantages of simple models over more complex ones for financial prediction. This premise is examined using a genetic fuzzy framework. The interpretability of fuzzy systems is oftentimes put forward as a unique advantageous feature, sometimes to justify effort associated with using fuzzy classifiers instead of alternatives that can be more readily implemented using existing tools. Here we investigate if model interpretability can provide further benefits by realizing useful properties in computationally intelligent systems for financial modeling. We test an approach for learning momentum based strategies that predict price movements of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The paper contributes an experimental evaluation of the relationship between the predictive capability and interpretability of fuzzy rule based systems obtained using MultiObjective Evolutionary Algorithms (MOEA.)
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