In this paper, E-Bayesian estimation of the scale parameter, reliability and hazard rate functions of Chen distribution are considered when a sample is obtained from a type-I censoring scheme. The E-Bayesian estimators are obtained based on the balanced squared error loss function and using the gamma distribution as a conjugate prior for the unknown scale parameter. Also, the E-Bayesian estimators are derived using three different distributions for the hyper-parameters. Some properties of E-Bayesian estimators based on balanced squared error loss function are discussed. A simulation study is performed to compare the efficiencies of different estimators in terms of minimum mean squared errors. Finally, a real data set is analyzed to illustrate the applicability of the proposed estimators.

In this article, a new technique of alpha-power transformation is used to propose a new class of lifetime distributions. Four special models of the new family are presented. Some mathematical properties of the proposed model including estimation of the unknown parameters using the method of maximum likelihood are discussed. For the illustrative purposes of the new proposal, a three-parameter special model of this class, namely, new alpha-power transformed Weibull distribution is considered in detail. The proposed distribution offers greater distributional flexibility and is able to model data with increasing, decreasing, and constant or more importantly with bathtub-shaped failure rates. Type-1 and Type-II censoring estimation are discussed. A simulation study based on complete sample of the new model is also carried out. Finally, the usefulness and efficiency of the new proposal is illustrated by analyzing two real data sets.

A new family of distributions called the Muth family of distributions is introduced and studied. Five special submodels of the proposed family are discussed. Some mathematical properties of the Muth family are studied. Explicit expressions for the probability weighted, moments, mean deviation and order statistics are investigated. Maximum likelihood procedure is used to estimate the unknown parameters. One real data set is employed to show the usefulness of the new family.

In this paper, we present a new family of continuous distributions known as the type I half logistic Burr X-G. The proposed family’s essential mathematical properties, such as quantile function (QuFu), moments (Mo), incomplete moments (InMo), mean deviation (MeD), Lorenz (Lo) and Bonferroni (Bo) curves, and entropy (En), are provided. Special models of the family are presented, including type I half logistic Burr X-Lomax, type I half logistic Burr X-Rayleigh, and type I half logistic Burr X-exponential. The maximum likelihood (MLL) and Bayesian techniques are utilized to produce parameter estimators for the recommended family using type II censored data. Monte Carlo simulation is used to evaluate the accuracy of estimates for one of the family’s special models. The COVID-19 real datasets from Italy, Canada, and Belgium are analysed to demonstrate the significance and flexibility of some new distributions from the family.

The inverse Rayleigh distribution finds applications in many lifetime studies, but has not enough overall flexibility to model lifetime phenomena where moderately right-skewed or near symmetrical data are observed. This paper proposes a solution by introducing a new two-parameter extension of this distribution through the use of the half-logistic transformation. The first contribution is theoretical: we provide a comprehensive account of its mathematical properties, specifically stochastic ordering results, a general linear representation for the exponentiated probability density function, raw/inverted moments, incomplete moments, skewness, kurtosis, and entropy measures. Evidences show that the related model can accommodate the treatment of lifetime data with different right-skewed features, so far beyond the possibility of the former inverse Rayleigh model. We illustrate this aspect by exploring the statistical inference of the new model. Five classical different methods for the estimation of the model parameters are employed, with a simulation study comparing the numerical behavior of the different estimates. The estimation of entropy measures is also discussed numerically. Finally, two practical data sets are used as application to attest of the usefulness of the new model, with favorable goodness-of-fit results in comparison to three recent extended inverse Rayleigh models.Entropy 2020, 22, 449 2 of 24 respectively, where α is a scale parameter. As notable features, the IR distribution has tractable and simple probability functions, is unimodal and right-skewed, and possesses a hazard rate function with a singular curvature: it increases at a certain value, then decreases until attain a kind of stabilization. The pioneer studies are [2] which presents some properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of α, and [3] which provides closed-form expressions for the (standard) mean, harmonic mean, geometric mean, mode and median of the IR distribution. Also, among the amount of works investigating the statistical aspects of the IR distribution, the reader can be referred to [4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12].In the recent years, several extensions of the IR distribution were developed, using different mathematical techniques, often at the basis of general families of distributions. Among them, there are the beta IR (BIR) distribution by [13], transmuted IR (TIR) distribution by [14], modified IR (MIR) distribution by [15], transmuted modified IR (TMIR) distribution by [16], transmuted exponentiated IR (TEIR) distribution by [17], Kumaraswamy exponentiated IR (KEIR) distribution by [18], weighted IR (WIR) distribution by [19], odd Fréchet IR (OFIR) distribution by [20], type II Topp-Leone IR (TIITLIR) distribution by [21], type II Topp-Leone generalized IR (TIITLGIR) distribution by [22] and exponentiated IR (EIR) distribution by [23].However, to the best of our knowledge, the use of the half-logistic transformation to extend the IR distribution remains unexplored, despite recent success in this regard. This half-log...

In this paper, we propose a generalization of the so-called truncated inverse Weibull-generated family of distributions by the use of the power transform, adding a new shape parameter. We motivate this generalization by presenting theoretical and practical gains, both consequences of new flexible symmetric/asymmetric properties in a wide sense. Our main mathematical results are about stochastic ordering, uni/multimodality analysis, series expansions of crucial probability functions, probability weighted moments, raw and central moments, order statistics, and the maximum likelihood method. The special member of the family defined with the inverse Weibull distribution as baseline is highlighted. It constitutes a new four-parameter lifetime distribution which brightensby the multitude of different shapes of the corresponding probability density and hazard rate functions. Then, we use it for modelling purposes. In particular, a complete numerical study is performed, showing the efficiency of the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates by simulation work, and fitting three practical data sets, with fair comparison to six notable models of the literature.

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The current study focused on modeling times series using Bayesian Structural Time Series technique (BSTS) on a univariate data-set. Real-life secondary data from stock prices for flying cement covering a period of one year was used for analysis. Statistical results were based on simulation procedures using Kalman filter and Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC). Though the current study involved stock prices data, the same approach can be applied to complex engineering process involving lead times. Results from the current study were compared with classical Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) technique. For working out the Bayesian posterior sampling distributions BSTS package run with R software was used. Four BSTS models were used on a real data set to demonstrate the working of BSTS technique. The predictive accuracy for competing models was assessed using Forecasts plots and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE). An easyto-follow approach was adopted so that both academicians and practitioners can easily replicate the mechanism. Findings from the study revealed that, for short-term forecasting, both ARIMA and BSTS are equally good but for long term forecasting, BSTS with local level is the most plausible option.