In Pakistan, the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) with a shorter treatment regimen (STR), that is, 4–6 months of amikacin, moxifloxacin (Mfx), ethionamide, clofazimine (Cfz), pyrazinamide (Z), ethambutol (E), and high-dose isoniazid, followed by 5 months of Mfx, Cfz, Z, and E, was initiated in 2018. However, there is a lack of information about its effectiveness in Pakistani healthcare settings. Therefore, this retrospective record review of MDR-TB patients treated with STR at eight treatment sites in Pakistan aimed to fill this gap. Data were analyzed using SPSS 23. Multivariate binary logistic regression (MVBLR) analysis was conducted to find factors associated with death and treatment failure, and lost to follow-up (LTFU). A P-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Of 912 MDR-TB patients enrolled at the study sites, only 313 (34.3%) eligible patients were treated with STR and included in the current study. Of them, a total of 250 (79.9%) were cured, 12 (3.8%) completed treated, 31 (9.9%) died, 16 (5.1%) were LTFU, and four (1.3%) were declared as treatment failures. The overall treatment success rate was 83.7%. In MVBLR analysis, patients’ age of 41–60 (odds ratio [OR] = 4.9, P-value = 0.020) and > 60 years (OR = 3.6, P-value = 0.035), being underweight (OR = 2.7, P-value = 0.042), and previous TB treatment (OR = 0.4, P-value = 0.042) had statistically significant association with death and treatment failure, whereas patients’ age of > 60 years (OR = 5.4, P-value = 0.040) and previous TB treatment (OR = 0.2, P-value = 0.008) had statistically significant association with LTFU. The treatment success rate of STR was encouraging. However, to further improve the treatment outcomes, special attention should be paid to the patients with identified risk factors.

Background There was a complete lack of information about the treatment outcomes of rifampicin/multidrug resistant (RR/MDR) childhood TB patients (age ≤ 14 years) from Pakistan, an MDR-TB 5th high burden country. Therefore, this study evaluated the socio-demographic characteristics, drug resistance pattern, treatment outcomes and factors associated with unsuccessful outcomes among childhood RR/MDR-TB patients in Pakistan. Methods This was a multicentre retrospective record review of all microbiologically confirmed childhood RR/MDR-TB patients (age ≤ 14 years) enrolled for treatment at seven units of programmatic management of drug-resistant TB (PMDT) in Pakistan. The baseline and follow-up information of enrolled participants from treatment initiation until the end of treatment were retrieved from electronic nominal recording and reporting system. World Health Organization (WHO) defined criterion was used for deciding treatment outcomes. The outcomes of “cured” and “treatment completed” were collectively grouped as successful, whereas “death”, “treatment failure” and “lost to follow-up” were grouped together as unsuccessful outcomes. Multivariable binary logistic regression analysis was used to find factors associated with unsuccessful outcomes. A p-value < 0.05 reflected statistically significant findings. Results A total of 213 children RR/MDR-TB (84 RR and 129 MDR-TB) were included in the study. Majority of them were females (74%), belonged to the age group 10–14 years (82.2%) and suffered from pulmonary TB (85.9%). A notable proportion (37.1%) of patients had no history of previous TB treatment. Patients were resistant to a median of two drugs (interquartile range: 1–4) and 23% were resistant to any second line anti-TB drug. A total of 174 (81.7%) patients achieved successful treatment outcomes with 144 (67.6%) patients being cured and 30 (14.1%) declared treatment completed. Among the 39 (18.3%) patients with unsuccessful outcomes, 35 (16.4%) died and 4 (1.9%) experienced treatment failure. In multivariable analysis, the use of ethambutol had statistically significant negative association with unsuccessful outcomes (odds ratio = 0.36, p-value = 0.02). Conclusions In this study, the WHO target of successful treatment outcomes (≥ 75%) among childhood RR/MDR-TB patients was achieved. The notable proportion of patients with no history of previous TB treatment (37.1%) and the disproportionately high number of female patients (74%) respectively stress for infection control measures and provision of early and high quality care for female drug susceptible TB patients.

Background: The current study is conducted with the aim to the fill the gap of information regarding treatment outcomes and variables associated with unsuccessful outcome among XDR-TB patients from Pakistan.Methods: A total of 404 culture confirmed XDR-TB patients who received treatment between 1st May 2010 and June 30, 2017 at 27 treatment centers all over Pakistan were retrospectively followed until their treatment outcomes were reported. A p-value &lt;0.05 reflected a statistical significant association.Results: The patients had a mean age 32.9 ± 14.1 years. The overall treatment success rate was 40.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]:35.80–45.60%). A total of 155 (38.4%) patients were declared cured, 9 (2.2%) completed treatment, 149 (36.9%) died, 60 (14.9%) failed treatment and 31 (7.7%) were lost to follow up (LTFU). The results of the multivariate binary logistic regression analysis revealed that the patients’ age of &gt;60 years (OR = 4.69, 95%CI:1.57–15.57) and receiving high dose isoniazid (OR = 2.36, 95%CI:1.14–4.85) had statistically significant positive association with death, whereas baseline body weight &gt;40 kg (OR = 0.43, 95%CI:0.25–0.73) and sputum culture conversion in the initial two months of treatment (OR = 0.33, 95%CI:0.19–0.58) had statistically significant negative association with death. Moreover, male gender had statistically significant positive association (OR = 1.92, 95%CI:1.04–3.54) with LTFU.Conclusion: The treatment success rate (40.6%) of XDR-TB patients in Pakistan was poor. Providing special attention and enhanced clinical management to patients with identified risk factors for death and LTFU in the current cohort may improve the treatment outcomes.

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Pakistan’s national tuberculosis control programme (NTP) is among the many programmes worldwide that value the importance of subnational tuberculosis (TB) burden estimates to support disease control efforts, but do not have reliable estimates. A hackathon was thus organised to solicit the development and comparison of several models for small area estimation of TB. The TB hackathon was launched in April 2019. Participating teams were requested to produce district-level estimates of bacteriologically positive TB prevalence among adults (over 15 years of age) for 2018. The NTP provided case-based data from their 2010–2011 TB prevalence survey, along with data relating to TB screening, testing and treatment for the period between 2010–2011 and 2018. Five teams submitted district-level TB prevalence estimates, methodological details and programming code. Although the geographical distribution of TB prevalence varied considerably across models, we identified several districts with consistently low notification-to-prevalence ratios. The hackathon highlighted the challenges of generating granular spatiotemporal TB prevalence forecasts based on a cross-sectional prevalence survey data and other data sources. Nevertheless, it provided a range of approaches to subnational disease modelling. The NTP’s use and plans for these outputs shows that, limitations notwithstanding, they can be valuable for programme planning.