Early hyperglycemia is a frequent component of the stress response to head injury, a significant indicator of its severity, and a reliable predictor of outcome.
Many previous studies have constructed several predictive models for outcome after severe head injury, but these have often used expensive, time consuming, or highly specialized measurements. The goal of this study was to develop a simple, easy to use a model involving only variables that are rapidly and easily achievable in daily routine practice. To this end, a classification and regression tree (CART) technique was employed in the analysis of data from 345 patients with isolated severe brain injury who were admitted to Asclepeion General Hospital of Athens from January, 1993, to December, 2000. A total of 16 prognostic indicators were examined to predict neurological outcome at 6 months after head injury. Our results indicated that Glasgow Coma Scale was the best predictor of outcome. With regard to the other data, not only the most widely examined variables such as age, pupillary reactivity, or computed tomographic findings proved again to be strong predictors, but less commonly applied parameters, indirectly associated with brain damage, such as hyperglycemia and leukocytosis, were found to correlate significantly with prognosis too. The overall cross-validated predictive accuracy of CART model for these data was 86.84%, with a cross-validated relative error of 0.308. All variables included in this tree have been shown previously to be related to outcome. Methodologically, however, CART is quite different from the more commonly used statistical methods, with the primary benefit of illustrating the important prognostic variables as related to outcome. This technique may prove useful in developing new therapeutic strategies and approaches for patients with severe brain injury.
Background:Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) is one of the most common clinical entities in daily neurosurgical practice which carries a most favorable prognosis. However, because of the advanced age and medical problems of patients, surgical therapy is frequently associated with various complications. This study evaluated the clinical features, radiological findings, and neurological outcome in a large series of patients with CSDH.Methods:A classification and regression tree (CART) technique was employed in the analysis of data from 986 patients who were operated at Asclepeion General Hospital of Athens from January 1986 to December 2011. Burr holes evacuation with closed system drainage has been the operative technique of first choice at our institution for 29 consecutive years. A total of 27 prognostic factors were examined to predict the outcome at 3-month postoperatively.Results:Our results indicated that neurological status on admission was the best predictor of outcome. With regard to the other data, age, brain atrophy, thickness and density of hematoma, subdural accumulation of air, and antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy were found to correlate significantly with prognosis. The overall cross-validated predictive accuracy of CART model was 85.34%, with a cross-validated relative error of 0.326.Conclusions:Methodologically, CART technique is quite different from the more commonly used methods, with the primary benefit of illustrating the important prognostic variables as related to outcome. Since, the ideal therapy for the treatment of CSDH is still under debate, this technique may prove useful in developing new therapeutic strategies and approaches for patients with CSDH.
✓ Unintended incidental durotomy is not a rare complication of lumbar microsurgery and is usually recognized and treated immediately. The reconstruction process can be complicated further by unpredictable factors. To their knowledge, the authors report the first case of a symptomatic pneumorachis associated with the accidental awakening of a patient during reconstruction of an incidental durotomy following lumbar microdiscectomy.Incomplete cauda equina syndrome developed in the patient on awakening from surgery after reconstruction of an unintended incidental dural tear that occurred during lumbar microdiscectomy. Symptomatic pneumorachis was revealed on an emergency computed tomography scan, and the patient underwent immediate repeated operation to remove air and decompress the spinal canal.The increasing number and complexity of surgical procedures in the lumbar spine contribute to the growing incidence of unintended durotomy. The surgeon should be aware of rare complications that may arise. Development of a vacuum phenomenon in conjunction with a ball–valve mechanism may lead to pneumorachis during durotomy repair. If this rare complication is promptly recognized and confronted, the outcome will not be associated with long-term sequelae.
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