Sto chas tic dif fer en tial equa tions are pro posed on the ba sis of gen er al ized Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equa tion. From the state ments of bound ary and ini tial value prob lems for proba bil is tic den sity, dis per sion and dif fer en tial en tropy the con di tions for sta bil ity of so lutions and changes in sce nar ios of de vel op ment of ran dom phe nom ena of heat and nu clear parti cle trans fer are ob tained.
External and internalchallenges, risks and crisis phenomena operatingin the world and national states requirethe ruling regimes to flexibly restructurethe configuration of relations betweenpower and society. One of the toolsof such communication is the methods of“evidence-based policy”, which involve addressingthe population on the basis of expertand scientific recommendations whendeveloping goals that allow people not onlyto judge their legality, but also to challengeand correct their content. At the same time,in a number of transitional and authoritarianstates, preference is given to the “policy ofevidence” that demonstrates the priorities ofpolitically expedient actions of the authoritiesaimed not at partnership with society, but at mobilizing the support of the populationfor the implementation of the goalsof government policy. In this context, thearticle shows the objective and subjectivelimitations of the use of scientific andexpert data in the public sphere by a numberof post-Soviet states, the peculiarities ofthe correlation of “evidence-based policy”and “policy of evidence” in the activities ofthe ruling regimes, and assesses their prospectsin the short term in modern Russiansociety.
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