Conclusion:Plaque morphology predicts ipsilateral stroke in asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS). The combination of embolic signal (ES) detection and plaque morphology provides greater prediction than either measure alone and can identify a high-risk group with an annual stroke rate of 8% and a low-risk group with a stroke rate of Ͻ1% per year.Summary: Intervention for high-grade ACS is increasingly questioned. There is evidence that, over the last decade, stroke risk with ACS has fallen with medical intervention alone (Abbott AL, Stroke 2009;40:e573-83; Marquardt I et al, Stroke 2010;41:e11-7). Nevertheless, although the percentage of patients with ACS who actually have a stroke is small, most ipsilateral strokes in patients with carotid stenosis are unheralded (Inzitari D et al, N Engl J Med 2000;342:1693-700). In this study, the authors examined the predictive value of a score based on plaque morphology and detection of ES with transcranial Doppler. Data were derived from the prospective, observational, international multicenter Asymptomatic Carotid Emboli Study (ACES). This study included 435 subjects with ACS Ͼ70% with baseline ultrasound images and transcranial Doppler data available. Prospective follow-up was for 2 years. Plaque morphology was graded using a classification system proposed by Geroulakos et al (Br J Surg 1993;80: 1274-7). In this system, type 1 plaques are uniformly echolucent, type 2 plaques are predominately echolucent (Ͼ50% of the plaque), type 3 plaques are predominately echogenic (Ͼ50% of the structure of the plaque), type 4 plaques are uniformly echogenic, and type 5 plaques cannot be classified because of heavy calcification or poor-quality images. Overall, type 1 and type 2 plaques are considered echolucent and type 3 and 4 plaques echogenic. In this study, 164 of the plaques (37.7%) were graded echolucent. At baseline, plaque echolucency was associated with an increased risk of ipsilateral stroke alone (hazard ratio, 6.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.36-30.44; P ϭ .019). Combining plaque echolucency and ES positivity at baseline was associated with a marked increased risk of ipsilateral stroke alone (hazard ratio, 10.61; 95% confidence interval, 2.98-37.82; P ϭ .003). Controlling for risk factors such as degree of carotid stenosis and antiplatelet medication did not alter this association.Comment: Data justifying prophylactic endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid stenosis is now quite old. Results of surgery, angioplasty, and medical management of asymptomatic carotid stenosis are likely better now than a decade or two ago, but at a minimum, Ͼ20 carotid interventions for patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis are needed to prevent one major stroke. There clearly needs to be a better approach to selecting patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis for prophylactic endarterectomy. However, I doubt the approach presented here will be the answer. The classification system of carotid plaques described by Geroulakos et al has been available for many years and is simply not used, ...