Кинеско-Индијски Односи — Постоји Ли Безбедносна Дилема?

Abstract

orcid.org/0009-0006-7450-5193 Рад је настао као резултат краткорочног волонтирања у оквиру Института за међународну политику и привреду. Институт за међународну политику и привреду (ИМПП)Међународна политика бр. 1187, јануар-април 2023. године Sino-Indian Relations-Is There a Security Dilemma SUMMARY From the beginning of the 21st century, Asian politics have been characterised by the rise of China as the main challenger to the current world order and its hegemon, the United States of America. The rise of China is accompanied by the growth of the ambitions of India, a power with significant economic potential and a nuclear arsenal, whose goal is to dominate the Indian Ocean as one of the key waters in this century. However, Beijing's active revisionist policy towards the existing order implies its greater presence in the region and control of important infrastructure in the countries surrounding India, which burdens these relations and creates a sense of insecurity in the South Asian and Indian Ocean regions. This tightening of relations between Beijing and New Delhi is progressively being interpreted through the lens of a security dilemma fueled by an increasingly unstable international environment. Using the theoretical work of Robert Jervis in the field of defining the security dilemma, this paper advocates the hypothesis that there is currently no security dilemma between China and India. That is primarily due to the predominant defensive advantage that geography provides for India and the ability to recognise other states' intentions when making decisions. According to Jervis, these two factors make it impossible to view the bilateral interaction of the two actors as a security dilemma.