“You’ve Come a Long Way, Baby”: The Convergence in Age Patterns of Lung Cancer Mortality by Sex, United States, 1959–2013

Rivadeneira, Natalie A.; Noymer, Andrew

doi:10.1080/19485565.2016.1262755

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Historically, the global sex difference in TBL mortality was reliably attributed to sex-specific behavioral differences (e.g., male tobacco use at higher rates). It is now likely that behavioral changes in high-income countries, like the United States, have caused male and female TBL mortality rates to converge [ 16 ]. We found this generalization to be supported by our analysis.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Characterizing Trends in Lung Cancer Mortality Attributable to Airborne Environmental Carcinogens

Veith

McAlarney

Xue

et al. 2021

IJERPH

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Tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer is the leading cause of cancer death globally, but trends in TBL mortality attributable to tobacco, ambient particulate matter pollution (APMP), and household air pollution (HAP) were unequally distributed within global population subgroups over the last three decades. We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study to quantify the impact of sex, time, sociodemographic development index (SDI), and age for each exposure from 1990–2019. During that interval, tobacco dominated the TBL cancer mortality landscape, with its minimum global age-adjusted death rate of 16.71 deaths/100,000 (95% Uncertainty Interval (UI): 15.27–18.13) outstripping maximums of 3.85 deaths/100,000 (UI: 2.82–4.83) and 2.54 deaths/100,000 (UI: 1.69–3.54) for APMP and HAP, respectively. In 2019, tobacco male TBL death rates exceeded female rates by a factor of 4.4:1. Ratios of 1.9:1 for APMP and 2.1:1 for HAP were seen. Our analysis indicates that both-sex middle SDI and female low, low-middle, and high-middle SDI populations are suffering increasing tobacco TBL burden. Efforts producing successful global reductions in HAP-associated TBL mortality should continue, with attention to low SDI female death rate increases. Finally, except for high SDI populations, global APMP-attributable TBL cancer burden is increasing and represents a major health concern.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Characterizing Trends in Lung Cancer Mortality Attributable to Airborne Environmental Carcinogens

Veith

McAlarney

Xue

et al. 2021

IJERPH

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“…Articles in this issue shed some light on the causes of differential mortality trends. Rivadeneira and Noymer (2017) clarify that as women smoke more, or, that is, as they behave more like men, their lung cancer mortality becomes like that of men; the shapes of their mortality curves from lung cancer have converged since 1983. This change in smoking behavior has been recognized as one of the major reasons for both the poor performance of trends in mortality among American women and their relatively poor mortality compared to that of women in other countries, and this article presents an interesting interaction of the period effect of smoking change across different cohort mortalities.…”

mentioning

confidence: 95%

Introduction to Issue on Gender Dynamics and Disparities in Health and Mortality

Crimmins

2017

Biodemography and Social Biology

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Models for estimating empirical Gompertz mortality: With an application to evolution of the Gompertzian slope

Tai¹,

Noymer

2018

Population Ecology

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Using data from the human mortality database (HMD), and five different modeling approaches, we estimate Gompertz mortality parameters for 7,704 life tables. To gauge model fit, we predict life expectancy at age 40 from these parameters, and compare predicted to empirical values. Across a diversity of human populations, and both sexes, the overall best way to estimate Gompertz parameters is weighted least squares, although Poisson regression performs better in 996 cases for males and 1,027 cases for females, out of 3,852 populations per sex. We recommend against using unweighted least squares unless death counts (to use as weights or to allow Poisson estimation) are unavailable. We also recommend fitting to logged death rates. Over time in human populations, the Gompertz slope parameter has increased, indicating a more severe increase in mortality rates as age goes up. However, it is well‐known that the two parameters of the Gompertz model are very tightly (and negatively) correlated. When the slope goes up, the level goes down, and, overall, mortality rates are decreasing over time. An analysis of Gompertz parameters for all of the HMD countries shows a distinct pattern for males in the formerly socialist economies of Europe.

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“You’ve Come a Long Way, Baby”: The Convergence in Age Patterns of Lung Cancer Mortality by Sex, United States, 1959–2013

Cited by 4 publications

References 45 publications

Characterizing Trends in Lung Cancer Mortality Attributable to Airborne Environmental Carcinogens

Characterizing Trends in Lung Cancer Mortality Attributable to Airborne Environmental Carcinogens

Introduction to Issue on Gender Dynamics and Disparities in Health and Mortality

Models for estimating empirical Gompertz mortality: With an application to evolution of the Gompertzian slope

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