World Trade Wars: Scenario Calculations of Consequences

Makarov, Valery; Wu, Jie; Zi-li, WU; Khabriev, Bulat R.; Bakhtizin, Albert

doi:10.1134/s1019331620010207

Cited by 7 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…In addition, using the simulator developed by us, we will calculate national security indicators for 2020 and give their forecast until 2025 depending on the most likely scenario of world dynamics from our point of view. The simulator of the social economic dynamics (SED model) for more than 100 countries of the world was developed by IT company Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd with the support of the National Supercomputer Center of China and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and is described in a number of publications [4,5].…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…To predict variables of the economic and financial blocks, we will use a simulator of social economic dynamics for more than 100 countries of the world (SED model) developed by IT company Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd with the support of the National Supercomputer Center of China and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences into a single software and analytical complex [4,5]. As for the indicators related to science and innovation, armed forces, and mortality, we extrapolate the ten-year trends we track.…”

Section: Forecastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

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National security of countries all over the world

Makarov

2021

Artificial Societies

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The article continues the study “Modeling and Assessment of National Power of Different Countries all over the World” dedicated to the calculation of national power indicator. It is currently the most informative and popular indicator in the world that integrally characterizes the aggregate potential of a particular country and at the same time allows comparing the level of its power and socio-economic development with other countries. The research results were published in the article “Modeling and Assessment of National Power of Different Countries all over the World”. If national power of the state, in fact, determines its potential capabilities and gross indicators are mainly used for the calculation, then national security indicators are calculated on the basis of normalized values (as a rule, per capita) and indicate the level of development of one or another component of the social-ecological-economic system of the country, as well as the efficiency of using the existing potential. In this article we will calculate national security indicators of UN member states using the methods of multivariate statistical analysis. Moreover, we will estimate threshold values for all national security factors considered herein. The last part of the paper will contain a forecast of national security for the medium term.

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Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Forecastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

National security of countries all over the world

Makarov

2021

Artificial Societies

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“…A quantitative assessment of the consequences of trade wars, scenarios of a trade war between the United States and Europe against Russia and China is studied in joint works of foreign and domestic scientists, the data were obtained using an analysis of over a hundred countries (Makarov et al, 2020).…”

Section: Problem Statementmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategy For The Global Trade War In The Digital Economy

Frolova¹

2021

European Proceedings of Social and Behavioural Sciences

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Trade wars have become a characteristic phenomenon in the development of the modern world economy. The greatest damage to business in the world is caused not only by the global competition in the framework of technological revolution, global pandemic, but by the ongoing trade wars. The global impact of trade wars is the most predictable event in the world for the foreseeable future. A trade war in the truest sense of this combination meant a clash of two states with the use of weapons over a sphere of influence in a certain territory, water area. In a more modern interpretation, trade wars were associated with protectionist policies and measures to protect the domestic market using tariff and non-tariff barriers. The methods of waging trade wars have transformed into long-term economic embargoes, driven largely by political motives with increased international competition. At the present stage, trade wars have affected the digital sphere, they seriously destabilize the economy, they are a weapon for curbing economic development, preventing the integration of national economies into the global world economy, and gaining global leadership by them. The study of the nature and essence of trade wars, analysis of global strategy, modern methods of their conduct in the digital economy are of scientific interest.

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“…The current SED model allows the Internet access with a user-friendly interface (https://www.gzmss.com) and the high performance parallel computing with China's Tianhe-2 supercomputer. In recent years, the SED model has been applied to simulate the impact of International incidents such as the Sino-US trade war on the global economy, and has been recognized gradually [18][19][20][21]. Later, the SED model will be integrated with ChatGPT based on natural language, becoming a new generation of complex system AI model based on mathematical language, capable of assisting human in economic decision-making.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Price equilibrium analysis based on the new theory of value

Jie,

Zili

2023

RJIE

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The universal measure of value has been always controversial in the traditional theory of value. Analogous to the research method of theoretical mechanics, developed from the traditional theory of value – labor theory of value, theory of surplus value and utility theory of value, the new theory of value has established a value complex variable function with labor value and use value as unknown functions, further in the mathematical logic of Euler equation and Euler formula, provided a universal measure of commodity value. On this basis, this paper focuses on the mathematical explicit expressions of value, exchange value, price and market equilibrium function that satisfy the principle of dimensional homogeneity, and the proof of the existence and stability of extremum solutions of market price equilibrium function, so as to help economics become a scientifi c theoretical system, integral with consistent logic, formed by qualitative theories, mathematical models, and computer models.

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World Trade Wars: Scenario Calculations of Consequences

Cited by 7 publications

References 5 publications

National security of countries all over the world

National security of countries all over the world

Strategy For The Global Trade War In The Digital Economy

Price equilibrium analysis based on the new theory of value

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