Wind-wave climate changes and their impacts

Casas-Prat, Mercè; Hemer, Mark A.; Dodet, Guillaume; Morim, Joao; Wang, Xiaolan L.; Mori, Nobuhito; Young, Ian; Erikson, Li; Kamranzad, Bahareh; Kumar, Prashant; Menéndez, Melisa; Feng, Yang

doi:10.1038/s43017-023-00502-0

Cited by 9 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 234 publications

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“…To access the robustness of trend, we identify the grids where >50% of members have statistically significant trend (at 5% level) and >80% (of the members previously identified with statistically significant trend) have the same sign for trend. In this way, the uncertainty assessment includes two types of variability: inter-member and inter-annual (Casas-Prat et al, 2024;Erikson et al, 2022;Morim et al, 2019).…”

Section: Model Experiments and Analysis Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean

Patra,

Dodet,

Min

et al. 2024

Geophysical Research Letters

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This study investigates the contribution of external forcings on global and regional ocean wave height change during 1961–2020. Historical significant wave height (Hs) produced for different CMIP6 external forcings and preindustrial control conditions following the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP) are employed. The internal variability ranges are compared with different external forcing scenario. Statistically significant linear trends in Hs computed over regional ocean basins are found to be mostly associated with anthropogenic forcings: greenhouse gas‐only (GHG) and aerosol‐only (AER) forcing. For Hs, GHG signals are robustly detected and dominant for most of the global ocean, except over North pacific and South Atlantic, where AER signals are dominant. These results are supported by multi‐model analysis for wind speed. The remarkable increase in Hs over the Arctic (22.3%) and Southern (8.2%) Ocean can be attributed to GHG induced sea‐ice depletion and larger effective fetch along with wind speed increase.

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Section: Model Experiments and Analysis Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean

Patra,

Dodet,

Min

et al. 2024

Geophysical Research Letters

Self Cite

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“…Another priority that emerged from the workshop was the need to have strong coupled ocean waves and physics in Blue Ocean reanalyses. Extreme wave events can have significant socio-economic and environmental impacts [Casas-Prat et al 2024]. The provision of wave reanalyses is essential for understanding the historical variability and long-term changes in wave conditions and for many downstream applications (Hemer et al 2011).…”

Section: Blue Oceanmentioning

confidence: 99%