Wicked Challenges at Land's End: Managing Coastal Vulnerability Under Climate Change

Moser, Susanne C.; Williams, S. Jeffress; Boesch, Donald F.

doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-021611-135158

Cited by 165 publications

(98 citation statements)

References 152 publications

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“…Although it is widely recognized the possible impacts of SLR, there is limited policy and regulation that explicitly incorporates accelerating SLR into the coastal management process in a world context yet (Moser et al, 2012). Coastal management must consider the cumulative, synergistic and mounting stresses arising from SLR and coastal use changes.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal use accelerated the regional sea-level rise

2013

Ocean & Coastal Management

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a b s t r a c tCoastal zones are highly threatened by global sea-level rise (SLR), but human-induced change in SLR is often neglected in many studies. Identifying the influences of coastal use on regional SLR and their interactions is helpful to effectively respond to SLR. In this paper, we analyzed the relationship between SLR, coastal use and rising temperature at the provincial level in mainland China since 2000. The results show that there is significant correlation between increasing coastal use and SLR, but that relationship between temperature rising and SLR is not significant. This supports our hypothesis that coastal use can accelerate regional SLR on Chinese coasts, especially in the Bohai Sea. We also discuss the potentially influential mechanism of one important coastal use, reclamation, on SLR in the Bohai Sea and present suggestions for both coastal use management and adaptation to SLR for this region.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal use accelerated the regional sea-level rise

2013

Ocean & Coastal Management

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“…The range of projections is large due to the uncertainty of continued global warming, which in turn depends on the extent of continued man-made emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Even greater global sea-level rise is possible (3 m+) over the next several hundred years [8,9], unless carbon emissions, global warming, and ice-sheet melting are greatly slowed or ideally reversed.…”

Section: Climate Change-global Sea-level Risementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change, Coastal Vulnerability and the Need for Adaptation Alternatives: Planning and Design Examples from Egypt and the USA

Williams

Ismail

2015

JMSE

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Planning and design of coastal protection for high-risk events with low to moderate or uncertain probabilities are a challenging balance of short-and long-term cost vs. protection of lives and infrastructure. The pervasive, complex, and accelerating impacts of climate change on coastal areas, including sea-level rise, storm surge and tidal flooding, require full integration of the latest science into strategic plans and engineering designs. While the impacts of changes occurring are global, local effects are highly variable and often greatly exacerbated by geophysical (land subsidence, faulting), oceanographic (ocean circulation, wind patterns) and anthropogenic factors. Reducing carbon emissions is needed to mitigate global warming, but adaptation can accommodate at least near future change impacts. Adaptation should include alternatives that best match region-specific risk, time frame, environmental conditions, and the desired protection. Optimal alternatives are ones that provide protection, accommodate or mimic natural coastal processes, and include landforms such as barrier islands and wetlands. Plans are often for 50 years, but longer-term planning is recommended since risk from climate change will persist for centuries. This paper presents an assessment of impacts of accelerating climate change on the adequacy of coastal protection strategies and explores design measures needed for an optimum degree of

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“…Climate change could affect coastal areas in a variety of ways. Coasts are sensitive to sea level rise, salt water intrusion into local soils, changes in the frequency and intensity of storms, increases in precipitation and warmer ocean temperatures (Moser et al 2012). We analyse multiple measures of climate change using time series analysis along with socioeconomic, demographic and attitudinal variables derived from a cross-sectional survey that examines variation in climate change risk perception.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Monitored versus experience-based perceptions of environmental change: evidence from coastal Tanzania

Armah

Luginaah

Chuenpagdee

et al. 2015

Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences

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The impacts of climate change are likely to exacerbate many problems that coastal areas already face. In this study, we used multinomial logistic regression to examine human perception of climate change based on a cross-sectional survey of 1253 individuals in coastal regions of Tanzania. This was complemented with time series analysis of 50-year meteorological data. The results indicate that self-rated ability to handle work pressure, self-rated ability to handle personal pressure and unexpected difficulties, age, region and educational status were significant predictors of perceived temperature change unlike ethnicity and gender. A disproportionately large percentage of respondents of all ages indicated that temperature was getting hotter between the past 10 and 30 years. This observation was supported by the time series analysis. Although respondents also alluded to changes in rainfall patterns in the past 10 -30 years, time series analysis of rainfall revealed a different scenario except for Mtwara region of Tanzania. Because there is agreement between respondents' perceptions of temperature and available scientific climatic evidence over the 50-year period, this study argues that when meteorological records are incomplete or unavailable, local perceptions of climatic changes can be used to complement scientific climatic evidence. Based on the spatial differentials in climate change perception observed in this study, there is opportunity for a more locally oriented adaptation dimension to climate policy integration, which has hitherto been underserved by both academics and policymakers.

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Wicked Challenges at Land's End: Managing Coastal Vulnerability Under Climate Change

Cited by 165 publications

References 152 publications

Coastal use accelerated the regional sea-level rise

Coastal use accelerated the regional sea-level rise

Climate Change, Coastal Vulnerability and the Need for Adaptation Alternatives: Planning and Design Examples from Egypt and the USA

Monitored versus experience-based perceptions of environmental change: evidence from coastal Tanzania

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