Who will be caring for Europe's dependent elders in 2030?

Gaymu, Joëlle; Ekamper, P.; Beets, G.C.N.

doi:10.3917/pope.704.0675

Cited by 24 publications

(26 citation statements)

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“…Due to the high fertility rate in the 1970s, a higher proportion of the elderly will have surviving adult children in the near future in many OECD countries (Gaymu et al, 2007). 8 But fertility rates continue to fall and this trend is unlikely to be fully reversed, according to a recent OECD study (d'Addio and Mira d'Ercole, 2005).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The Long-Term Care Workforce: Overview and Strategies to Adapt Supply to a Growing Demand

Fujisawa

Colombo

2009

OECD Health Working Papers

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JT03261422 DIRECTORATE FOR EMPLOYMENT, LABOUR AND SOCIAL AFFAIRS OECD HEALTH WORKING PAPERSThis series is designed to make available to a wider readership health studies prepared for use within the OECD. Authorship is usually collective, but principal writers are named. The papers are generally available only in their original language -English or French -with a summary in the other.Comment on the series is welcome, and should be sent to the Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, 2, rue André-Pascal, 75775 PARIS CEDEX 16, France.The opinions expressed and arguments employed here are the responsibility of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD.Applications for permission to reproduce or translate all or part of this material should be made to: This paper serves as a background document to OECD Health Committee work on the performance of long-term care systems. It is also one in a series of studies undertaken by OECD as part of a project on Health Workforce and International Migration. The Health Workforce and International Migration project was co-financed by a grant provided by the Directorate General for Health and Consumer Protection of the European Commission. Nonetheless, the views expressed in this report should not be taken to reflect the official position of the European Union.DELSA/ELSA/WP2/HEA(2009)1 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.This working paper offers an overview of the LTC workforce and reviews country responses to a growing demand for LTC workers. 2.In the context of ageing societies, the importance of long-term care is growing in all OECD countries. In 2005, long-term care expenditure accounted for slightly over 1% of GDP across OECD countries (OECD Health Data 2008), but this is projected to reach between 2% and 4% of GDP by 2050 (Oliveira Martins et al., 2006). Spending on long-term care as a share of GDP rises with the share of the population that is over 80 years old, which is expected to triple from 4 per cent to 11-12 per cent between 2005 and 2050. 3.In addition to ageing, there are other factors likely to affect future spending. Trends in severe disability among elderly populations across 12 OECD countries for which data are available do not show a consistent sign of decline (Lafortune and Balestat, 2007), while the number of elderly that need assistance in carrying out activities of daily living is also growing. Meanwhile, societal changes -notably possible reductions in the importance of informal care due to rising labour market participation by women and declining family size, as well as growing expectations for more responsive, quality health and social-care systems -are creating pressures to improve value for money in long-term care systems. These factors add pressures on the workforce of this highly labour-intensive sector. Adding to this are the difficulties in attracting and retaining caregivers to a physically and mentally gruelling profession. 4.These trends may well not result in future shortages of LTC workers if labour markets are able to adapt...

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confidence: 99%

The Long-Term Care Workforce: Overview and Strategies to Adapt Supply to a Growing Demand

Fujisawa

Colombo

2009

OECD Health Working Papers

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“…Data from the FELICIE study (Gaymu et al, 2008), utilised here, show that the proportions of men aged seventy-five and over in this country with a surviving child will fall after 2017. A similar decline occurs for women but not until later, with the gender difference primarily explained by men's higher age of paternity (Gaymu et al, 2007). The FELICIE study primarily examines the implications of trends in childlessness for European countries generally, rather than for individual countries (Gaymu et al, 2007;Tomassini et al, 2008).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A similar decline occurs for women but not until later, with the gender difference primarily explained by men's higher age of paternity (Gaymu et al, 2007). The FELICIE study primarily examines the implications of trends in childlessness for European countries generally, rather than for individual countries (Gaymu et al, 2007;Tomassini et al, 2008). In England, the decline in the percentages of older men with a child is projected to more than offset the increase in the percentages of women with a child, with the result that the proportions of people with disabilities aged seventy-five and over, and aged sixty-five and over, with a child are projected to be lower in 2032 than today.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The research primarily uses projections of the availability of children in future produced by the Future Elderly Living Conditions In Europe (FELICIE) study, which made projections to 2030 in nine European countries, including England and Wales (Gaymu et al, 2007(Gaymu et al, , 2008. However, the present article also takes the European work further.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Mapping the Future of Family Care: Receipt of Informal Care by Older People with Disabilities in England to 2032

Pickard¹,

Wittenberg²,

Comas-Herrera³

et al. 2012

Social Policy & Society

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“…The reasons that show a scenario that demands increasing attention to the needs of people with lack of personal autonomy are similar: increased life expectancy and decreasing birth rates. It is for this reason that European countries approach this issue from different angles that require higher public budgets for dependency, and an aging population demanding action at the health , social, urban and residential levels (Gaymu, Ekamper and Beets, 2007).…”

Section: Trends and Differences In Dependency In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

The Spanish Long-Term Care System in the European Context

Robles

Morales

2015

Arbor

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ABSTRACT:The recent exponential increase in the number of people in situations of dependency and demand for social, health and residential coverage in Europe currently presents a troubling demographic forecast. This article describes the peculiarities of the Spanish care model within the European context. In order to do this, we review previous analyses that show the differences in the dependency care in European countries, such as the form of residence of its beneficiaries or the capacity of social networks to meet their care needs. Then, we proceed to present the purposes underlying the Spanish legal framework, as well as its strengths and limitations. The findings suggest that the universal model implemented in Spain could serve as referent for the European context, although this depends on the social models of coexistence and prior context in which the dependency occurs.KEYWORDS: Dependency Care; Aging; Personal Autonomy; Informal Caregivers; Legislative Analysis of Dependency. RESUMEN: Europa presenta en la actualidad unas previsiones demográficas preocupantes, incrementando exponencialmente el número de las personas en situación de dependencia y su demanda de cobertura social, sanitaria y residencial. En este contexto europeo, creemos oportuno destacar el modelo de atención español, señalando sus particularidades. Para ello, en primer lugar, hemos realizado una revisión de los análisis que profundizan en las divergencias de la atención a la dependencia en los países europeos, como la forma de residencia de este sector poblacional o la capacidad de las redes sociales de cubrir sus necesidades de atención. En segundo lugar, procedemos a exponer las pretensiones del marco legislativo español, así como sus fortalezas y limitaciones. Las conclusiones apuntan a que el modelo universal implantado en España pudiera ser un referente en el contexto europeo, aunque ello dependerá de sus modelos sociales de convivencia y el contexto previo en que se desenvuelva la dependencia.PALABRAS CLAVE: Atención a la dependencia; envejecimiento; autonomía personal; cuidadores informales; análisis legislativo de la dependencia.

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Who will be caring for Europe's dependent elders in 2030?

Cited by 24 publications

References 26 publications

The Long-Term Care Workforce: Overview and Strategies to Adapt Supply to a Growing Demand

The Long-Term Care Workforce: Overview and Strategies to Adapt Supply to a Growing Demand

Mapping the Future of Family Care: Receipt of Informal Care by Older People with Disabilities in England to 2032

The Spanish Long-Term Care System in the European Context

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