Who voted for Brexit? Individual and regional data combined

Alabrese, Eleonora; Becker, Sascha O.; Fetzer, Thomas; Novy, Dennis

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.08.002

Cited by 152 publications

(124 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…The main point from Model 3 is to confirm that this pattern is robust to controlling for the full range of background variables -now including party identification, education and income which were omitted from Models 1 and 2 (due to the preponderance of missing values). While the results from the control variables are not central to our purposes, it is worth noting that they confirm the consistent patterns from previous work (Hobolt 2016;Clarke et al 2017;Alabrese et al 2019). Leave was a more popular option among older people, men, those with lower education and those on lower incomes.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 88%

Depression and attitudes to change in referendums: The case of Brexit

Bernardi

Johns

2020

European J Political Res

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Depression is the most common mental illness and its profound impact on cognition and decisionmaking has implications for political judgement. However, those implications are unclear in the case of referendums offering a choice between status quo and change. On one hand, one component of depression is the kind of life dissatisfaction associated with voting for change. Yet cognitive models also portray depression sufferers as biased towards the status quo: they are less inclined to research change, more pessimistic about its benefits and more likely to exaggerate its potential costs. In this paper, we use data from Understanding Society to examine the impact of those cross-pressures on support for Brexit. Prior to the referendum, while life dissatisfaction and generally poor health predicted support for Leaving the European Union (EU), those diagnosed with depression were disproportionately likely to support Remain. Supporting our claim that the latter was a sign of status quo bias, this difference disappeared once the result was in and leaving the EU had become the widespread expectation. The study highlights the unexplored importance of mental health for political judgements, emphasises the multidimensionality of conditions like depression and illustrates the psychological role of status quo bias in referendum voting.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 88%

Depression and attitudes to change in referendums: The case of Brexit

Bernardi

Johns

2020

European J Political Res

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“…These findings support the e↵ort to validate our Brexit measures. However, they also speak to Alabrese et al (2019) and Fetzer (2019), who find substantial geographical heterogeneity in the extent to which demographic variables can explain the Brexit vote. Our findings suggest that "spillovers" from local companies might be a partial source of this geographical heterogeneity.…”

Section: Regional Support For Brexitmentioning

confidence: 95%

“…When voters live in a region where a firm with elevated Brexit exposure is headquartered, they are more likely to vote against Brexit. Previous studies have generally focused on voter characteristics (such as age, ethnicity, and educational achievements) to explain geographical variation in voting (Alabrese et al, 2019;Fetzer, 2019). We propose that a voter's referendum choice will also be guided by their assessment of how Brexit will a↵ect local economic and employment conditions.…”

Section: Regional Support For Brexitmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty

et al. 2019

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“…They largely confirm what the correlations reported above suggest. Alabrese et al (2019), for example, find that voting Leave is associated with older age, white ethnicity, low educational attainment, infrequent use of smartphones and the internet, receiving public benefits, adverse health, and low life satisfaction. Others have found that negative attitudes towards immigration increase the probability that an individual voted Leave (Arnorsson and Zoega 2018) and that the generational divide-younger individuals are less Eurosceptical than older ones-reflects a combination of individuals' experience of the EU during their formative years and differences in access to education for different generations (Fox and Pearce 2018).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Meaningful Votes: Voting on Brexit in the British House of Commons

2019

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Why do politicians rebel and vote against the party line when high stakes bills come to the floor of the legislature? To address that question, we leverage the three so-called Meaningful Votes that took place in the British House of Commons between January and March 2019 on the Withdrawal Agreement that the Conservative government had reached with the European Union. The bill was defeated decisively three times following a major revolt amongst Conservative backbench Members of Parliament (MPs). We find that three factors influenced their rebellion calculus: the MP's own ideological views, constituency preferences and career concerns. Somewhat paradoxically, the rebellion within the Conservative Party came from MPs who had supported Leave in the 2016 Brexit referendum and from MPs elected in Leave-leaning constituencies.

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Who voted for Brexit? Individual and regional data combined

Cited by 152 publications

References 13 publications

Depression and attitudes to change in referendums: The case of Brexit

Depression and attitudes to change in referendums: The case of Brexit

The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty

The Meaningful Votes: Voting on Brexit in the British House of Commons

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