When Not in the Best of Worlds: Uncertainty and Forest Carbon Sequestration

Eriksson, Mathilda; Vesterberg, Anders

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2766236

Cited by 2 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…On the other hand, it would be difficult to estimate such functions at regional and national scale while including our explanatory variables of interest. Nevertheless, our estimates of intrinsic forest growth rate for Sweden are close to results obtained in other studies (Eriksson and Vesterberg 2016). We cannot compare our results on the effect of site quality on forest growth and value of timber and carbon sequestration, since we are not aware of any similar studies.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 73%

“…The significant estimate of 0.13 is close to the estimates of intrinsic growth rate in boreal forests at the large scale, which amounts to 0.11 (e.g. Eriksson and Vesterberg 2016). Standing volume has the expected negative sign, i.e.…”

Section: Site Quality and Forest Productivitysupporting

confidence: 71%

“…Data on carrying capacity are obtained by doubling the actual average productivity of 120 m 3 /ha (Table 1), which is a common approach in several integrated assessment models including forest as a carbon sink (e.g. Eriksson and Vesterberg 2016). The average harvest in relation to standing volume as expressed in Equation (1) amounts to s = 0.03, which is close to the average growth rate of 0.0313 (see Table 1).…”

Section: Quantitative Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Estimating economic value of site quality for uncertain ecosystem service provision in Swedish forests

Gren

Amuakwa–Mensah

2018

International Journal of Biodiversity Science, Ecosystem Servic

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As in other ecosystems, provision of ecosystem services from forests is uncertain because of stochastic weather conditions. In general, society is risk-averse, which means that factors increasing or decreasing the uncertainty in ecosystem services add a source of cost or value to society, measurement of which is lacking in the literature. This article suggests a method for calculating the impact of site-specific ecological conditions in Swedish forests on the economic value of uncertain ecosystem services in terms of timber and carbon sequestration. Applying econometric tools from economics and finance to time-series forest data in Sweden reveals that a site quality indicator adds positively to forest growth rate and decreases uncertainty in forest productivity and associated provision of ecosystem services. The importance of site quality is demonstrated by showing that a marginal increase in site quality can raise the economic value of timber and carbon sequestration by 9% and that neglecting uncertainty can underestimate the value of the contribution by 12%. These findings indicate that management practices improving site quality have the potential of raising the total economic value of forest ecosystem and stabilizing its volatility. ARTICLE HISTORY

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 73%

Section: Site Quality and Forest Productivitysupporting

confidence: 71%

Section: Quantitative Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Estimating economic value of site quality for uncertain ecosystem service provision in Swedish forests

Gren

Amuakwa–Mensah

2018

International Journal of Biodiversity Science, Ecosystem Servic

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“…Some previous studies have suggested that the global temperature will reach the 2 • C increase between 2026 and 2060 [22]. Increasing temperatures affect forests by changing their geographical distributions [23] and exhibit dominant control over the natural distribution of forest ecosystems [24]. Temperature increases will change the regeneration capacities [25] of species and therefore alter the area of suitable habitat of forest vegetation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Responses of the Carbon Storage and Sequestration Potential of Forest Vegetation to Temperature Increases in Yunnan Province, SW China

Zhou

Zhang

et al. 2018

Forests

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The distribution of forest vegetation and forest carbon sequestration potential are significantly influenced by climate change. In this study, a map of the current distribution of vegetation in Yunnan Province was compiled based on data from remote sensing imagery from the Advanced Land Observing Satellite (ALOS) from 2008 to 2011. A classification and regression tree (CART) model was used to predict the potential distribution of the main forest vegetation types in Yunnan Province and estimate the changes in carbon storage and carbon sequestration potential (CSP) in response to increasing temperature. The results show that the current total forest area in Yunnan Province is 1.86 × 10 7 ha and that forest covers 48.63% of the area. As the temperature increases, the area of forest distribution first increases and then decreases, and it decreases by 11% when the temperature increases from 1.5 to 2 • C. The mean carbon density of the seven types of forest vegetation in Yunnan Province is 84.69 Mg/ha. The total carbon storage of the current forest vegetation in Yunnan Province is 871.14 TgC, and the CSP is 1100.61 TgC. The largest CSP (1114.82 TgC) occurs when the temperature increases by 0.5 • C. Incremental warming of 2 • C will sharply decrease the forest CSP, especially in those regions with mature coniferous forest vegetation. Semi-humid evergreen broad-leaved forests were highly sensitive to temperature changes, and the CSP of these forests will decrease with increasing temperature. Warm-hot coniferous forests have the greatest CSP in all simulation scenarios except the scenario of a 2 • C temperature increase. These results indicate that temperature increases can influence the CSP in Yunnan Province, and the largest impact emerged in the 2 • C increase scenario.

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When Not in the Best of Worlds: Uncertainty and Forest Carbon Sequestration

Cited by 2 publications

References 13 publications

Estimating economic value of site quality for uncertain ecosystem service provision in Swedish forests

Estimating economic value of site quality for uncertain ecosystem service provision in Swedish forests

Responses of the Carbon Storage and Sequestration Potential of Forest Vegetation to Temperature Increases in Yunnan Province, SW China

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