2012
DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v4n7p22
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Weak-Form Market Efficiency: Evidence from the Brazilian Stock Market

Abstract: We investigate the predictive power of various trading rules with different combinations of the most popular indicators in technical analysis for the Brazilian stock index (BOVESPA) over the period of 5/1/1996 to 3/1/2011, or 14.83 years. The empirical results show that all the buy-sell differences under single, double and triple-indicator combinations are insignificant in t-test; that is, technical trading models cannot beat the buy and hold strategy. Although few multiple-indicator trading models show profit… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…Recent studies have also resulted in contradictory findings about the relative strength rule. For example, Wong et al (2003), in the case of Singapore's capital market, show that the relative strength rule yields above-average returns, while Chen and Metghalchi (2012), in the case of the capital market of Brazil, prove that the rule described fails to "beat" the passive strategy.…”
Section: Weak-form Market Efficiency Testsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent studies have also resulted in contradictory findings about the relative strength rule. For example, Wong et al (2003), in the case of Singapore's capital market, show that the relative strength rule yields above-average returns, while Chen and Metghalchi (2012), in the case of the capital market of Brazil, prove that the rule described fails to "beat" the passive strategy.…”
Section: Weak-form Market Efficiency Testsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Traditionally, linear dynamics methods were used to assess the dynamics of stock markets [1][2][3], these methods are actively being used now [4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. However, in the 1990s, the nonlinear paradigm, which is represented by the hypothesis of the fractal market, began to develop actively [11,12].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Se existe uma influência da emissão de dividendos sobre os retornos acionários, esperamos que esse efeito seja intensificado em um mercado emergente, visto que as ineficiências são maiores quando comparadas com mercados desenvolvidos. No caso do Brasil, as evidências apontam eficiência na forma fraca (Chen e Metghalchi, 2012, Mobarek e Fiorante, 2014, principalmente após a estabilização de preços em 1994 (Ely, 2011). Porém, esta forma de eficiênciaé caracterizada por incorporar no conjunto informacional apenas os preços históricos, e não informações públicas ou privadas como anúncios de dividendos, sendo essa ineficiência no mercado brasileiro também encontrada por Gutller et al (2008).…”
Section: Introductionunclassified