We Were the Robots: Automation and Voting Behavior in Western Europe

Anelli, Massimo; Colantone, Italo; Stanig, Piero

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3427624

Cited by 54 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…While immigration and local marginalization thus play markedly different roles as factors behind PRR success, economic hardship is relevant in all sorts of areas. Our findings dovetail conclusions of earlier studies (Rydgren & Ruth 2013;Van Gent et al 2014;as well as Dippel et al 2015;Malgouyres 2017;Anelli et al 2019;Dehdari 2019). We find unemployment is particularly relevant in rural areas (through its association with populist attitudes), while low incomes matter especially in urban areas (where it is more strongly associated with both anti-immigration attitudes and populist attitudes).…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

“…2015; Malgouyres 2017), impact of automation (Anelli et al. 2019) or the level of lay‐offs (Dehdari 2019), do find consistent effects of these factors on PRR support. Therefore, we expect difficult economic conditions at the local level to boost anti‐immigrant feelings and populist attitudes.…”

Section: Theorymentioning

confidence: 88%

“…2015; Malgouyres 2017; Anelli et al. 2019; Dehdari 2019). We find unemployment is particularly relevant in rural areas (through its association with populist attitudes), while low incomes matter especially in urban areas (where it is more strongly associated with both anti‐immigration attitudes and populist attitudes).…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Research on the effects of national and regional economic conditions (such as economic growth and unemployment rates) on PRR support has produced some evidence for this mechanism, although inconsistently (Golder 2003;Van der Brug et al 2005;Arzheimer & Carter 2006;Norris & Inglehart 2019;De Blok & Van der Meer 2018). Yet, recent contributions using more specific operationalizations of the economic impact of the increased mobility of people and capital, such as openness to trade (Dippel et al 2015;Malgouyres 2017), impact of automation (Anelli et al 2019) or the level of lay-offs (Dehdari 2019), do find consistent effects of these factors on PRR support. Therefore, we expect difficult economic conditions at the local level to boost anti-immigrant feelings and populist attitudes.…”

Section: Economic Hardshipmentioning

confidence: 98%

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Multiple roots of the populist radical right: Support for the Dutch PVV in cities and the countryside

Harteveld

Brug

Lange

et al. 2021

European J Political Res

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Populist radical right parties are considerably more popular in some areas (neighbourhoods, municipalities, regions) than others. They thrive in some cities, in some smaller towns, and in some rural areas, but they are unsuccessful in other cities, small towns, and rural areas. We seek to explain this regional variation by modelling at the individual level how citizens respond to local conditions. We argue that patterns of populist radical right support can be explained by anxiety in the face of social change. However, how social change manifests itself is different in rural and urban areas, so that variations in populist radical right support are rooted in different kinds of conditions. To analyse the effects of these conditions we use unique geo-referenced survey data from the Netherlands collected among a nationwide sample of 8,000 Dutch respondents. Our analyses demonstrate that the presence of immigrants (and particularly increases therein) can explain why populist radical right parties are more popular in some urban areas than in others, but that it cannot explain variation across rural areas. In these areas, local marginalization is an important predictor of support for populist radical right parties. Hence, to understand the support for the populist radical right, the heterogeneity of its electorate should be recognized.

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Section: Conclusion and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Theorymentioning

confidence: 88%

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Economic Hardshipmentioning

confidence: 98%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Multiple roots of the populist radical right: Support for the Dutch PVV in cities and the countryside

Harteveld

Brug

Lange

et al. 2021

European J Political Res

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“…6 For a similar approach, see Polavieja (2016). 7 For instance, Polavieja (2016) or Anelli, Colantone, and Stanig (2019) aggregate survey questions at the 3-digit level, however, in this setting there are occupations with less than 50 observations, which, considering that they are from different countries and periods of time is problematic.…”

Section: Data Sources and Operationalizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Occupation-Specific Skills, Labor Market Context and Preferences for Redistribution

Serrano-Serrat¹

2022

Preprint

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Different strands in social sciences have analyzed the role of specific skills on distinct political stances, however, a consensus has not been reached yet. This is so because some scholars stress the fact that specific skills tend to shelter workers from job loss (replaceability thesis), while others that it decreases re-employment potential (portability thesis). To tackle these contradictory results, in the current paper I argue that OSS are a key element in shaping labor market prospects, and for studying this relation scholars should move beyond theories about firm-specific skills (FSS). The main difference outlined is that, contrary to FSS, occupational context moderates how OSS shape labor market prospects. I claim that OSS affect two key elements that allow to explain redistribution preferences: social mobility and social risks. Both of these effects are moderated by occupational context. After a discussion about how OSS shape labor market prospects, a simple formal model of redistribution preferences is presented. I show the relevance of this new approach using different rounds from the ESS and the ISSP.

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Automation and sectoral reallocation

Hutschenreiter

Santini

Vella

2021

SERIEs

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Empirical evidence in Dauth et al. (J Eur Econ Assoc, 2021) suggests that industrial robot adoption in Germany has led to a sectoral reallocation of employment from manufacturing to services, leaving total employment unaffected. We rationalize this evidence through the lens of a general equilibrium model with two sectors, matching frictions and endogenous participation. Automation induces firms to create fewer vacancies and job seekers to search less in the automatable sector (manufacturing). The service sector expands due to the sectoral complementarity in the production of the final good and a positive wealth effect for the household. Analysis across steady states shows that the reduction in manufacturing employment can be offset by the increase in service employment. The model can also replicate the magnitude of the decline in the ratio of manufacturing employment to service employment in Germany between 1994 and 2014.

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We Were the Robots: Automation and Voting Behavior in Western Europe

Cited by 54 publications

References 20 publications

Multiple roots of the populist radical right: Support for the Dutch PVV in cities and the countryside

Multiple roots of the populist radical right: Support for the Dutch PVV in cities and the countryside

Occupation-Specific Skills, Labor Market Context and Preferences for Redistribution

Automation and sectoral reallocation

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