2012
DOI: 10.1080/00396338.2012.709384
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War with China

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Cited by 27 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…9 In a 2012 Survival essay on how a war between China and the US might occur in the following three decades, James Dobbins nominated 'in descending order of probability … changes in the status of North Korea and Taiwan, Sino-American confrontation in cyberspace, and disputes arising from China's uneasy relationships with Japan and India'. 10 The tendency to order dangers in this way means that rather little analysis has focused on the possibility of a worsening crisis that leads to an armed conflict between Japan and China, and hostilities that spill over to involve the US. This scenario deserves greater attention, despite the fact that there is a series of interlocking arguments as to why escalation between them might be thought unlikely.…”
Section: Such a Comparison Seems Especially Apt Because Few Observersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…9 In a 2012 Survival essay on how a war between China and the US might occur in the following three decades, James Dobbins nominated 'in descending order of probability … changes in the status of North Korea and Taiwan, Sino-American confrontation in cyberspace, and disputes arising from China's uneasy relationships with Japan and India'. 10 The tendency to order dangers in this way means that rather little analysis has focused on the possibility of a worsening crisis that leads to an armed conflict between Japan and China, and hostilities that spill over to involve the US. This scenario deserves greater attention, despite the fact that there is a series of interlocking arguments as to why escalation between them might be thought unlikely.…”
Section: Such a Comparison Seems Especially Apt Because Few Observersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Later, with the global war on terror, Beijing became a strategic partner of Washington. However, after the U.S. withdrawal of troops from Iraq and the degradation of Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan in 2012, under the new Pivot-to-Asia strategy, 52 Washington started to shift troops towards the strategically important East Asia to pursue its "Pacific Century." 53 Thus, when the Islamic State emerged, China appeared much less willing to cooperate with the United States this time, such as on the Syrian issue; instead, it began to criticize Washington sharply.…”
Section: Limits Of Us-china Military Cooperationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Obserwacja aktualnych trendów w polityce międzynarodowej Stanów Zjednoczonych i Chin pozwala wysnuwać przypuszczenia o ich konfliktowym charakterze. Chiny posiadają rozległe roszczenia terytorialne obejmujące blisko 90% terenu Morza Południowochińskiego, co przekłada się na systematyczne problemy z Japonią czy Filipinami 36 . Stały wzrost gospodarczy i rosnący budżet na wydatki obronne pozwoliły Chinom na rozbudowę swojego potencjału militarnego 37 .…”
Section: Podłoża Konfliktuunclassified