War-gaming application for future space systems acquisition part 1: program and technical baseline war-gaming modeling and simulation approaches

Nguyen, Tien M.; Guillen, Andy T.

doi:10.1117/12.2264718

Cited by 3 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…The TE's uncertainties are expressed in terms technology and market uncertainties. The definition for the system requirement types and associated PTB solution framework for classifying a PTB Solution are described in Figure 4 [8]. As an example, a Type 1 Requirement is mapped into a "Less Innovative & Conservative PTB Solution" where the "Market Uncertainty" and "Technology Uncertainty" are "Low" and "Low," respectively.…”

Section: Ptb War-gaming Engines (Pwges)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The approach presented in this section follows [8]. It focuses on static Bayesian game models with "Pure" and "Mixed" games depending on the outcomes of the market survey results.…”

Section: Ptb War-gaming Engines (Pwges)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This section provides an overview description of the analytical and simulation modeling approaches for PTB cooperative Bayesian games for complete information with pure and mixed strategies [8].…”

Section: Analytical and Simulation Modeling Approach For Government Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…[8] for the belief function. Since each TE will have its own "Technology Risk" and "Market Risk", 6 Eq.…”

Section: Simulation and Gamingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The DAA plays static Bayesian cooperative games with either complete and perfect information (pure game) or complete and imperfect information (mixed game) using normal-form representation of the Bayesian games [8]. Our game models assume "N" suppliers (or contractors (KTRs)) participating in the bidding games and the availability of market survey data for which Government's "request for information" (RFI) is used to collect the required data from each contractor for assessing potential TEs identified by DAA.…”

Section: Analytical and Simulation Modeling Approach For Government Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

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War-Gaming Applications for Achieving Optimum Acquisition of Future Space Systems

Nguyen¹,

Guillen²,

Matsunaga³

et al. 2018

Simulation and Gaming

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This chapter describes an innovative modeling and simulation approach using newly proposed Advanced Game-based Mathematical Framework (AGMF), Unified Game-based Acquisition Framework (UGAF) and a set of War-Gaming Engines (WGEs) to address future space systems acquisition challenges. It so b j e c t i v ei st oa s s i s tt h eD o DA c q u i s i t i o n Authority (DAA) to understand the contractor's perspective and to seek optimum Program-and-Technical-Baseline (PTB) solution and corresponding acquisition strategy under both the perspectives of the government and the contractors. The proposed approach calls for an interdisciplinary research that involves game theory, probability and statistics, and non-linear programming. The goal of this chapter is to apply the proposed war-gaming frameworks to develop and evaluate PTB solutions and associated acquisition strategies in the context of acquisition of future space systems. Our simulation results suggest that our optimization problem for the acquisition of future space systems meets the affordability and innovative requirements with minimum acquisition risk.

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Section: Ptb War-gaming Engines (Pwges)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The approach presented in this section follows [8]. It focuses on static Bayesian game models with "Pure" and "Mixed" games depending on the outcomes of the market survey results.…”

Section: Ptb War-gaming Engines (Pwges)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Analytical and Simulation Modeling Approach For Government Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…[8] for the belief function. Since each TE will have its own "Technology Risk" and "Market Risk", 6 Eq.…”

Section: Simulation and Gamingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Analytical and Simulation Modeling Approach For Government Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

War-Gaming Applications for Achieving Optimum Acquisition of Future Space Systems

Nguyen¹,

Guillen²,

Matsunaga³

et al. 2018

Simulation and Gaming

Self Cite

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Acquisition War-Gaming Technique for Acquiring Future Complex Systems: Modeling and Simulation Results for Cost Plus Incentive Fee Contract

et al. 2018

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This paper provides a high-level discussion and propositions of frameworks and models for acquisition strategy of complex systems. In particular, it presents an innovative system engineering approach to model the Department of Defense (DoD) acquisition process and offers several optimization modules including simulation models using game theory and war-gaming concepts. Our frameworks employ Advanced Game-based Mathematical Framework (AGMF) and Unified Game-based Acquisition Framework (UGAF), and related advanced simulation and mathematical models that include a set of War-Gaming Engines (WGEs) implemented in MATLAB statistical optimization models. WGEs are defined as a set of algorithms, characterizing the Program and Technical Baseline (PTB), technology enablers, architectural solutions, contract type, contract parameters and associated incentives, and industry bidding position. As a proof of concept, Aerospace, in collaboration with the North Carolina State University (NCSU) and University of Hawaii (UH), successfully applied and extended the proposed frameworks and decision models to determine the optimum contract parameters and incentives for a Cost Plus Incentive Fee (CPIF) contract. As a result, we can suggest a set of acquisition strategies that ensure the optimization of the PTB.

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Systems-of-Systems MS&A for Complex Systems, Gaming and Decision for Space Systems

Nguyen¹

2022

Simulation Modeling

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This chapter discusses advanced modeling, simulation and analysis (MS&A) approaches for supporting complex space system, gaming and decision support system (DSS) using systems-of-systems perspective. The systems-of-systems MS&A approaches presented here also address capability-based approach for supporting US defense acquisition life cycle with a laser focus on the pre-award acquisition phase and combined game theory and wargaming for acquiring complex defense space systems. The chapter also provides an overview of existing models and tools for the design, analysis and development of the government reference system architecture solution and corresponding acquisition strategy in a complex defense systems-of-systems environment. Although, the proposed MS&A approaches presented here are focused on defense space systems, but the approaches are flexible and robust that can be extended to any civilian and commercial applications.

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War-gaming application for future space systems acquisition part 1: program and technical baseline war-gaming modeling and simulation approaches

Cited by 3 publications

References 2 publications

War-Gaming Applications for Achieving Optimum Acquisition of Future Space Systems

War-Gaming Applications for Achieving Optimum Acquisition of Future Space Systems

Acquisition War-Gaming Technique for Acquiring Future Complex Systems: Modeling and Simulation Results for Cost Plus Incentive Fee Contract

Systems-of-Systems MS&A for Complex Systems, Gaming and Decision for Space Systems

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